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Milton Keynes Dons vs Northampton

20 October 2018 at 15:00Stadium MK, Milton Keynes
Referee: Brett Huxtable

Match Summary

Milton Keynes Dons defeated Northampton 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2018.

Rivalry since 2012

Milton Keynes Dons vs Northampton Head to Head Results· 16

Total goals
55 · 3.4/match
Both scored
10/16 · 63%
Over 2.5
11/16 · 69%

Recent Meetings

21/11/23EFL Trophy
Match Details
29/07/23Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
20/02/21League One
Match Details
12/01/21EFL Trophy
Match Details
03/11/20League One
Match Details
08/09/20EFL Trophy
Match Details
29/12/18League Two
Match Details
20/01/18League One
Match Details
26/09/17League One
Match Details
21/01/17League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 53 v 2017

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Milton Keynes Dons1wins
1draws2 meetings
Northampton0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (55%) — the odds may underestimate Milton Keynes Dons.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 56.6%Draw 26.3%Away 21.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.753.754.40
Max1.803.875.00
Market favourite:Milton Keynes Dons · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market54.7%24.8%20.5%
Public market54.3%26.1%19.6%
Δ0.4%1.3%0.9%

Milton Keynes Dons vs Northampton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Milton Keynes Dons
Result vs. Market: Milton Keynes Dons (57%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Milton Keynes DonsHalf-time:10Northampton
17Shots12
5Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

29 Dec 201818/193.16/3.29/2.33
20 Oct 201818/191.77/3.81/4.69

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 138D 62L 76
Over 2.553
Goals scored450

Away Record: Northampton

W 241D 167L 181
Over 2.546
Goals scored801

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026