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Swindon Town vs Stevenage

27 November 2018 at 19:45County Ground, Swindon

Match Summary

Swindon Town defeated Stevenage 3:2. The match was played in League Two 2018.

Rivalry since 2012

Swindon Town vs Stevenage Head to Head Results· 13

Swindon Town and Stevenage have met 13 times — Swindon Town won 6, Stevenage won 5, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Swindon Town leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 13 meetings. A combined 31 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.38 per match (16 for the home side, 15 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (23%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (31%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Stevenage are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–2 in 2017.

Drawn
2
·
Total goals
31 · 2.4/match
Both scored
3/13 · 23%
Over 2.5
4/13 · 31%

Recent Meetings

25/04/23League Two
Match Details
08/10/22League Two
Match Details
29/12/21League Two
Match Details
04/09/21League Two
Match Details
22/10/19League Two
Match Details
12/03/19League Two
Match Details
30/01/18League Two
Match Details
02/12/17FA Cup
Match Details
16/09/17League Two
Match Details
14/01/14League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 52 v 2017

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Swindon Town have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Stevenage show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

22%

Games with 3+ goals

33%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
9 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (43%) — the odds may underestimate Swindon Town.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

25 Apr 202322/233.58/3.27/2.14
Match Details
8 Oct 202222/231.83/3.45/4.67
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29 Dec 202121/221.85/3.48/4.28
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4 Sept 202121/222.51/3.02/3.01
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22 Oct 201919/201.71/3.69/5.33
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12 Mar 201918/193.07/3.26/2.45
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27 Nov 201818/192.23/3.36/3.42
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30 Jan 201817/182.94/3.31/2.53
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16 Sept 201717/182.43/3.49/2.94
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 3.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 44.8%Draw 29.8%Away 29.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.303.30
Max2.253.403.50
Market favourite:Swindon Town · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market43.1%28.8%28.1%
Public market43.4%28.7%27.9%

Swindon Town vs Stevenage — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Swindon Town
Result vs. Market: Swindon Town (45%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Swindon TownHalf-time:31Stevenage
16Shots7
6Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Swindon Town

W 200D 108L 142
Over 2.555
Goals scored677

Away Record: Stevenage

W 155D 130L 165
Over 2.544
Goals scored533

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026