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Newport County vs Lincoln

27 April 2019 at 15:00Rodney Parade, Newport
Referee: Kevin Johnson

Match Summary

Newport County defeated Lincoln 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2018.

Rivalry since 2011

Newport County vs Lincoln Head to Head Results· 7

Newport County and Lincoln have met 7 times — Newport County won 3, Lincoln won 3, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. A combined 21 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (10 for the home side, 11 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (57%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (57%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Lincoln are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–4 in 2013.

Drawn
1
·
3
wins
Total goals
21 · 3.0/match
Both scored
4/7 · 57%
Over 2.5
4/7 · 57%

Recent Meetings

22/12/18League Two
Match Details
30/01/18League Two
Match Details
23/12/17League Two
Match Details
12/01/13National League
Match Details
18/08/12National League
Match Details
24/03/12National League
Match Details
03/12/11National League
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 24 v 2013

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Newport County have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. Lincoln show 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
4 meetings
2
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (37%) — the odds may underestimate Newport County.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

27 Apr 201918/192.63/3.34/2.67
Match Details
22 Dec 201818/191.75/3.75/4.89
Match Details
30 Jan 201817/181.91/3.48/4.44
Match Details
23 Dec 201717/182.57/3.23/2.97
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 38.0%Draw 30.0%Away 37.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.603.302.62
Max2.703.412.70
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market36.7%28.0%35.3%
Public market35.1%28.7%36.2%
Δ1.6%0.7%0.8%

Newport County vs Lincoln — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Newport County
Result vs. Market: Newport County (38%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Newport CountyHalf-time:10Lincoln
11Shots9
7Shots on target1

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Newport County

W 196D 153L 239
Over 2.547
Goals scored687

Away Record: Lincoln

W 157D 115L 142
Over 2.547
Goals scored537

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026