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Bury vs Port Vale

4 May 2019 at 15:00Gigg Lane, Bury
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Bury

11
Referee: Eddie Ilderton

Match Summary

Bury and Port Vale drew 1:1. The match was played in League Two 2018.

Rivalry since 2013

Bury vs Port Vale Head to Head Results· 6

Bury and Port Vale have met 6 times — Bury won 2, Port Vale won 3, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. Port Vale leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 6 meetings. A combined 15 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.50 per match (8 for the home side, 7 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–1 in 2016.

2
wins
Drawn
1
·
Total goals
15 · 2.5/match
Both scored
3/6 · 50%
Over 2.5
3/6 · 50%

Recent Meetings

27/10/18League Two
Match Details
20/01/17League One
Match Details
03/09/16League One
Match Details
28/12/15League One
Match Details
19/09/15League One
Match Details
03/09/13EFL Trophy
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 41 v 2016

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Bury have recorded 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Port Vale show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Bury

WWWDWW

Port Vale

LWLLDW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.5

Average goals per game

13%

Games with 3+ goals

38%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

2
wins
draws
4
8 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (25%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (62%) — the odds may underestimate Port Vale.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

26/03/1110/112.74/3.18/2.57
19/09/0909/102.20/3.32/3.01
4 May 201918/191.55/3.99/6.50
Match Details
27 Oct 201818/193.86/3.68/1.95
Match Details
17/04/1009/102.10/3.32/3.16
13/12/0808/091.83/3.39/4.01
8 Jul 201010/112.18/3.25/3.05
4 Apr 200908/093.13/3.24/2.16

Market Summary

Margin: 5.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 64.5%Draw 25.1%Away 15.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.523.966.50
Max1.604.006.50
Market favourite:Bury · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market61.7%23.8%14.5%
Public market60.7%24.3%15.0%

Bury vs Port Vale — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Bury (65%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BuryHalf-time:11Port Vale
10Shots23
3Shots on target7

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bury

W 179D 134L 147
Over 2.547
Goals scored603

Away Record: Port Vale

W 186D 141L 170
Over 2.546
Goals scored641

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026