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Stevenage vs Carlisle

14 September 2019 at 15:00The Lamex Stadium, Stevenage, Hertfordshire
23
Referee: M. Coy

Match Summary

Carlisle defeated Stevenage 3:2. The match was played in League Two 2019.

Rivalry since 2011

Stevenage vs Carlisle Head to Head Results· 24

Drawn
7
·
10
wins
Total goals
52 · 2.2/match
Both scored
10/24 · 42%
Over 2.5
11/24 · 46%

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Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

Stevenage

LLWDWD

Carlisle

LWWWDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Stevenage5wins
1draws10 meetings
Carlisle4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (37%) — the odds may underestimate Stevenage.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 38.8%Draw 29.0%Away 36.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.503.402.70
Max2.623.502.80
Over 2.5: 52.6%Under 2.5: 52.6%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market36.9%28.1%34.9%
Public market37.3%27.9%34.9%

Stevenage vs Carlisle — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Carlisle
Result vs. Market: Stevenage (39%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

StevenageHalf-time:11Carlisle
14Shots12
6Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

18 Mar 202322/232.50/3.14/3.03
20 Aug 202222/231.84/3.54/4.44
30 Apr 202221/222.75/3.20/2.62
11 Dec 202121/222.48/3.13/3.03
20 Mar 202120/213.44/3.21/2.19
12 Dec 202020/211.58/3.80/6.40
14 Sept 201919/202.58/3.45/2.76
13 Apr 201918/192.83/3.46/2.49
29 Sept 201818/192.41/3.39/3.01
26 Sept 201717/182.18/3.57/3.36

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Stevenage

W 155D 130L 165
Over 2.544
Goals scored533

Away Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026