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Exeter City vs Grimsby

28 September 2019 at 15:00St James Park, Exeter, Devon
13
Referee: B. Huxtable

Match Summary

Grimsby defeated Exeter City 3:1. The match was played in League Two 2019.

Rivalry since 2016

Exeter City vs Grimsby Head to Head Results· 9

Exeter City and Grimsby have met 9 times — Exeter City won 6, Grimsby won 1, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Exeter City leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 9 meetings. A combined 20 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.22 per match (15 for the home side, 5 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (33%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (44%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Exeter City are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2021.

Drawn
2
·
1
wins
Total goals
20 · 2.2/match
Both scored
3/9 · 33%
Over 2.5
4/9 · 44%

Recent Meetings

27/04/21League Two
Match Details
01/12/20League Two
Match Details
18/01/20League Two
Match Details
29/12/18League Two
Match Details
20/10/18League Two
Match Details
24/02/18League Two
Match Details
11/11/17League Two
Match Details
14/01/17League Two
Match Details
08/10/16League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2021

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Exeter City have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Grimsby show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Grimsby

DLDWWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Exeter City dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
10 meetings
2
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (53%) — the odds may underestimate Grimsby.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

27 Apr 202120/211.72/3.66/4.97
Match Details
1 Dec 202020/213.98/3.52/1.94
Match Details
18 Jan 202019/203.45/3.36/2.20
Match Details
28 Sept 201919/201.82/3.91/4.28
Match Details
29 Dec 201818/191.84/3.60/4.28
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20 Oct 201818/193.45/3.42/2.17
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24 Feb 201817/182.57/3.42/2.81
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11 Nov 201717/181.95/3.73/3.80
Match Details
10 Aug 201616/173.16/3.31/2.40
14/01/1716/172.53/3.41/2.89

Market Summary

Margin: 4.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 55.0%Draw 25.6%Away 23.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.783.754.13
Max1.854.094.50
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 57.1%
Market favourite:Exeter City · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market53.0%23.6%23.4%
Public market52.5%25.9%21.6%
Δ0.5%2.3%1.8%

Exeter City vs Grimsby — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Grimsby
Result vs. Market: Exeter City (55%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Exeter CityHalf-time:01Grimsby
22Shots7
5Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Exeter City

W 211D 133L 153
Over 2.549
Goals scored694

Away Record: Grimsby

W 223D 181L 277
Over 2.548
Goals scored792

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026