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Northampton vs Carlisle

30 October 2021 at 14:00Sixfields Stadium, Northampton, East Midlands
30
Referee: O. Yates

Match Summary

Northampton defeated Carlisle 3:0. The match was played in League Two 2021.

Rivalry since 2014

Northampton vs Carlisle Head to Head Results· 12

Northampton and Carlisle have met 12 times — Northampton won 6, Carlisle won 3, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2014. Northampton leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 12 meetings. A combined 36 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (22 for the home side, 14 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (58%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Northampton are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–4 in 2016.

Drawn
3
·
Total goals
36 · 3.0/match
Both scored
7/12 · 58%
Over 2.5
8/12 · 67%

Recent Meetings

06/04/24League One
Match Details
16/12/23League One
Match Details
15/04/23League Two
Match Details
20/12/22League Two
Match Details
12/03/22League Two
Match Details
22/10/19League Two
Match Details
12/01/19League Two
Match Details
11/08/18League Two
Match Details
05/03/16League Two
Match Details
20/10/15League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 14 v 2016

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Northampton have recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats. Carlisle show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Northampton dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Northampton6wins
2draws10 meetings
Carlisle2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.1

Average goals per game

80%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (52%) — the odds may underestimate Northampton.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 55.1%Draw 29.1%Away 21.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.783.254.50
Max1.833.604.77
Over 2.5: 43.5%Under 2.5: 62.5%
Market favourite:Northampton · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market52.3%27.7%20.1%
Public market52.2%26.5%21.2%
Δ1.1%1.2%

Northampton vs Carlisle — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Northampton
Result vs. Market: Northampton (55%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

NorthamptonHalf-time:10Carlisle
8Shots9
4Shots on target0

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

15 Apr 202322/232.22/3.09/3.60
20 Dec 202222/232.11/3.29/3.61
12 Mar 202221/223.18/3.09/2.41
30 Oct 202121/221.81/3.44/4.59
22 Oct 201919/202.75/3.34/2.66
12 Jan 201918/192.51/3.17/3.03
11 Aug 201818/192.65/3.34/2.76
20/10/1515/162.00/3.63/3.87
3 May 201615/163.11/3.34/2.41
20/12/1414/152.61/3.32/2.84

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Northampton

W 241D 167L 181
Over 2.546
Goals scored801

Away Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026