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Hartlepool vs Carlisle

8 October 2022 at 15:00The Suit Direct Stadium, Hartlepool, County Durham
13
Referee: T. Reeves

Match Summary

Carlisle defeated Hartlepool 3:1. The match was played in League Two 2022.

Rivalry since 2011

Hartlepool vs Carlisle Head to Head Results· 15

Hartlepool and Carlisle have met 15 times — Hartlepool won 4, Carlisle won 8, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Carlisle leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 15 meetings. A combined 50 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.33 per match (22 for the home side, 28 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 games (80%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2015.

Drawn
3
·
Total goals
50 · 3.3/match
Both scored
10/15 · 67%
Over 2.5
12/15 · 80%

Recent Meetings

25/02/26National League
Match Details
01/10/25National League
Match Details
24/01/23League Two
Match Details
18/01/22League Two
Match Details
28/08/21League Two
Match Details
14/04/17League Two
Match Details
15/10/16League Two
Match Details
05/04/16League Two
Match Details
29/08/15League Two
Match Details
02/05/15League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2015

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Hartlepool have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Carlisle show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Carlisle

LWWWDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Carlisle dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Hartlepool1wins
3draws10 meetings
Carlisle6wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.3

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (31%) — the odds may underestimate Carlisle.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 32.2%Draw 30.9%Away 42.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.003.102.30
Max3.203.322.44
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 58.8%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market31.1%29.2%39.7%
Public market29.8%28.9%41.4%
Δ1.4%0.3%1.7%

Hartlepool vs Carlisle — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Carlisle
Result vs. Market: Carlisle (42%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

HartlepoolHalf-time:10Carlisle
13Shots13
2Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

24 Jan 202322/231.61/3.74/6.05
8 Oct 202222/233.10/3.24/2.38
18 Jan 202221/222.28/3.25/3.25
28 Aug 202121/222.58/3.20/2.81
15/10/1616/171.60/4.10/5.99
14/04/1716/172.82/3.40/2.59
29/08/1515/162.32/3.34/3.26
4 May 201615/161.96/3.48/4.18
10 Apr 201414/152.76/3.24/2.72
5 Feb 201514/152.53/3.40/2.87

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Hartlepool

W 101D 77L 144
Over 2.546
Goals scored353

Away Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026