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Rochdale vs Stevenage

4 March 2023 at 15:00Crown Oil Arena, Rochdale, Greater Manchester
20

Match Summary

Rochdale defeated Stevenage 2:0. The match was played in League Two 2022.

Rivalry since 2011

Rochdale vs Stevenage Head to Head Results· 5

Rochdale and Stevenage have met 5 times — Rochdale won 0, Stevenage won 4, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Stevenage leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 5 meetings. A combined 18 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.60 per match (5 for the home side, 13 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (60%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (60%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Stevenage are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–5 in 2012.

Drawn
1
·
Total goals
18 · 3.6/match
Both scored
3/5 · 60%
Over 2.5
3/5 · 60%

Recent Meetings

16/08/22League Two
Match Details
15/04/22League Two
Match Details
23/11/21League Two
Match Details
14/01/12League One
Match Details
03/09/11League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 15 v 2012

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Rochdale have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats. Stevenage show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Rochdale

DWDWWD

Stevenage

LLWDWD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

25%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
4 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (20%) — the odds may underestimate Rochdale.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

4 Mar 202322/234.63/3.48/1.83
Match Details
16 Aug 202222/231.89/3.54/4.22
Match Details
15 Apr 202221/222.42/3.10/3.12
Match Details
23 Nov 202121/222.04/3.42/3.61
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 21.6%Draw 28.7%Away 54.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min4.403.401.80
Max4.753.541.85
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 58.8%
Market favourite:Stevenage · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market20.4%27.3%52.3%
Public market20.0%27.2%52.8%

Rochdale vs Stevenage — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Rochdale
Result vs. Market: Stevenage (55%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

RochdaleHalf-time:20Stevenage
9Shots28
2Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Rochdale

W 176D 125L 159
Over 2.552
Goals scored653

Away Record: Stevenage

W 155D 130L 165
Over 2.544
Goals scored533

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026