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Grimsby vs Accrington ST

14 October 2023 at 15:00Blundell Park, Cleethorpes, North East Lincolnshire
Referee: L. Smith

Match Summary

Accrington ST defeated Grimsby 2:0. The match was played in League Two 2023.

Rivalry since 2016

Grimsby vs Accrington ST Head to Head Results· 10

Grimsby and Accrington ST have met 10 times — Grimsby won 4, Accrington ST won 3, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Grimsby leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 10 meetings. A combined 26 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.60 per match (14 for the home side, 12 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (40%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–2 in 2024.

4
wins
Drawn
3
·
Total goals
26 · 2.6/match
Both scored
5/10 · 50%
Over 2.5
4/10 · 40%

Recent Meetings

11/02/26League Two
Match Details
23/08/25League Two
Match Details
01/01/25League Two
Match Details
03/12/24League Two
Match Details
03/02/24League Two
Match Details
22/11/22EFL Trophy
Match Details
30/12/17League Two
Match Details
12/09/17League Two
Match Details
25/03/17League Two
Match Details
26/12/16League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 52 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Grimsby have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Accrington ST show 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

4
wins
draws
3
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (44%) — the odds may underestimate Grimsby.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

11 Feb 202625/261.81/3.60/3.90
Match Details
23 Aug 202525/263.35/3.26/2.17
Match Details
1 Jan 202524/252.39/3.35/2.87
Match Details
3 Dec 202424/252.47/3.32/2.85
Match Details
3 Feb 202423/242.02/3.73/3.41
Match Details
14 Oct 202323/242.13/3.48/3.42
Match Details
30 Dec 201717/182.63/3.38/2.71
Match Details
12 Sept 201717/181.87/3.70/4.33
Match Details
26/12/1616/172.76/3.43/2.54
25/03/1716/171.92/3.46/4.46

Market Summary

Margin: 5.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 46.9%Draw 28.7%Away 29.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.103.403.25
Max2.193.543.60
Over 2.5: 52.6%Under 2.5: 51.3%
Market favourite:Grimsby · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market44.2%27.3%28.5%
Public market45.4%28.1%26.5%
Δ1.2%0.7%2.0%

Grimsby vs Accrington ST — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Accrington ST
Result vs. Market: Grimsby (47%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

GrimsbyHalf-time:00Accrington ST
11Shots12
2Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Grimsby

W 223D 181L 277
Over 2.548
Goals scored792

Away Record: Accrington ST

W 247D 171L 272
Over 2.550
Goals scored885

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026