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Gillingham vs Notts County

21 October 2023 at 15:00Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham, Kent
Referee: A. Young

Match Summary

Notts County defeated Gillingham 2:1. The match was played in League Two 2023.

Rivalry since 2013

Gillingham vs Notts County Head to Head Results· 9

Drawn
0
·
Total goals
22 · 2.4/match
Both scored
5/9 · 56%
Over 2.5
5/9 · 56%

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Highest-scoring game: 13 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Gillingham4wins
1draws8 meetings
Notts County3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (25%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (37%) — the odds may underestimate Notts County.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 38.7%Draw 27.4%Away 38.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.553.502.50
Max2.603.752.66
Over 2.5: 59.9%Under 2.5: 46.5%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market37.3%26.3%36.4%
Public market37.3%25.4%37.3%

Gillingham vs Notts County — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Notts County
Result vs. Market: Notts County (39%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

GillinghamHalf-time:01Notts County
11Shots10
2Shots on target7

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

3 Feb 202625/261.86/3.25/4.00
13 Sept 202525/262.32/3.17/3.08
1 Feb 202524/253.33/3.43/2.14
21 Sept 202424/251.94/3.69/3.67
9 Feb 202423/242.17/3.69/3.08
21 Oct 202323/242.58/3.64/2.57
21/10/0808/091.97/3.30/3.51
17/03/0908/092.62/3.28/2.58

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Gillingham

W 140D 106L 122
Over 2.540
Goals scored446

Away Record: Notts County

W 211D 159L 228
Over 2.552
Goals scored789

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026