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Gillingham vs AFC Wimbledon

28 November 2023 at 19:45Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham, Kent
Referee: L. Swabey

Match Summary

Gillingham defeated AFC Wimbledon 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2023.

Rivalry since 2011

Gillingham vs AFC Wimbledon Head to Head Results· 22

Gillingham and AFC Wimbledon have met 22 times — Gillingham won 6, AFC Wimbledon won 10, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. AFC Wimbledon leads the head-to-head with 10 victories from 22 meetings. A combined 56 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.55 per match (25 for the home side, 31 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 11 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 games (41%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–4 in 2012.

Drawn
6
·
Total goals
56 · 2.5/match
Both scored
11/22 · 50%
Over 2.5
9/22 · 41%

Recent Meetings

21/04/25League Two
Match Details
30/12/24League Two
Match Details
12/03/24League Two
Match Details
25/02/23League Two
Match Details
09/08/22League Cup
Match Details
30/07/22League Two
Match Details
22/02/22League One
Match Details
17/08/21League One
Match Details
23/02/21League One
Match Details
24/11/20League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 34 v 2012

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Gillingham have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. AFC Wimbledon show 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Gillingham4wins
1draws10 meetings
AFC Wimbledon5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (33%) — the odds may underestimate Gillingham.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 35.2%Draw 29.6%Away 40.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.753.302.38
Max2.973.502.52
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 57.1%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market32.6%29.0%38.4%
Public market34.0%27.2%38.8%
Δ1.4%1.8%0.4%

Gillingham vs AFC Wimbledon — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Gillingham
Result vs. Market: AFC Wimbledon (41%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

GillinghamHalf-time:00AFC Wimbledon
8Shots9
4Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

27/10/1212/134.18/3.81/1.79
21 Apr 202524/253.40/3.33/2.14
30 Dec 202424/251.77/3.46/4.62
12 Mar 202423/242.27/3.21/3.36
28 Nov 202323/242.84/3.38/2.45
25 Feb 202322/232.28/3.10/3.38
30 Jul 202222/232.42/3.21/3.07
20/04/1312/131.78/3.74/4.68
21/01/1211/121.75/3.54/4.63
10 Jan 201111/122.51/3.35/2.68

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Gillingham

W 140D 106L 122
Over 2.540
Goals scored446

Away Record: AFC Wimbledon

W 126D 104L 138
Over 2.544
Goals scored451

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026