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Notts County vs Accrington ST

7 September 2024 at 15:00Meadow Lane, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
Referee: M. Woods

Match Summary

Notts County defeated Accrington ST 2:0. The match was played in League Two 2024.

Rivalry since 2011

Notts County vs Accrington ST Head to Head Results· 14

Notts County and Accrington ST have met 14 times — Notts County won 4, Accrington ST won 6, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Accrington ST leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 14 meetings. A combined 40 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.86 per match (22 for the home side, 18 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (57%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2016.

Drawn
4
·
Total goals
40 · 2.9/match
Both scored
7/14 · 50%
Over 2.5
8/14 · 57%

Recent Meetings

17/03/26League Two
Match Details
01/01/26League Two
Match Details
18/01/25League Two
Match Details
16/03/24League Two
Match Details
02/09/23League Two
Match Details
02/04/18League Two
Match Details
25/08/17League Two
Match Details
04/02/17League Two
Match Details
10/09/16League Two
Match Details
23/02/16League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2016

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Notts County have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Accrington ST show 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Notts County4wins
2draws10 meetings
Accrington ST4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (59%) — the odds may underestimate Accrington ST.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 61.9%Draw 23.6%Away 20.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.584.004.68
Max1.654.525.00
Over 2.5: 67.6%Under 2.5: 38.5%
Market favourite:Notts County · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market59.3%20.7%20.0%
Public market57.8%23.4%18.7%
Δ1.4%2.7%1.3%

Notts County vs Accrington ST — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Notts County
Result vs. Market: Notts County (62%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Notts CountyHalf-time:10Accrington ST
15Shots11
8Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

17 Mar 202625/264.20/3.25/1.81
1 Jan 202625/261.81/3.50/4.10
18 Jan 202524/253.08/3.43/2.23
7 Sept 202424/251.62/4.24/4.81
16 Mar 202423/242.79/3.78/2.33
2 Sept 202323/241.60/4.07/5.02
2 Apr 201817/182.19/3.45/3.45
25 Aug 201717/182.46/3.41/2.88
9 Oct 201616/172.38/3.46/3.04
2 Apr 201716/171.86/3.75/4.33

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Notts County

W 211D 159L 228
Over 2.552
Goals scored789

Away Record: Accrington ST

W 247D 171L 272
Over 2.550
Goals scored885

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026