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Walsall vs Swindon Town

1 March 2025 at 15:00Poundland Bescot Stadium, Walsall, West Midlands
01
Referee: P. Howard

Match Summary

Swindon Town defeated Walsall 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2024.

Rivalry since 2012

Walsall vs Swindon Town Head to Head Results· 22

Walsall and Swindon Town have met 22 times — Walsall won 8, Swindon Town won 9, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Swindon Town leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 22 meetings. A combined 65 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.95 per match (30 for the home side, 35 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 13 matches (59%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 games (64%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2015.

8
wins
Drawn
5
·
Total goals
65 · 3.0/match
Both scored
13/22 · 59%
Over 2.5
14/22 · 64%

Recent Meetings

06/04/26League Two
Match Details
02/08/25League Two
Match Details
17/08/24League Two
Match Details
16/04/24League Two
Match Details
16/09/23League Two
Match Details
14/03/23League Two
Match Details
26/12/22League Two
Match Details
09/08/22League Cup
Match Details
07/05/22League Two
Match Details
22/02/22League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2015

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Walsall have recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats. Swindon Town show 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Walsall4wins
1draws10 meetings
Swindon Town5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (54%) — the odds may underestimate Swindon Town.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 57.3%Draw 27.6%Away 21.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.743.404.42
Max1.753.765.00
Over 2.5: 52.6%Under 2.5: 51.3%
Market favourite:Walsall · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market53.9%24.9%21.2%
Public market53.6%27.6%18.8%
Δ0.2%2.7%2.4%

Walsall vs Swindon Town — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Swindon Town
Result vs. Market: Walsall (57%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

WalsallHalf-time:00Swindon Town
12Shots12
2Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

6 Apr 202625/262.05/3.25/3.40
2 Aug 202525/262.20/3.40/3.15
1 Mar 202524/251.75/3.62/4.67
17 Aug 202424/252.43/3.61/2.71
16 Apr 202423/241.91/3.75/3.76
16 Sept 202323/241.96/3.55/3.60
14 Mar 202322/232.11/3.24/3.68
26 Dec 202222/232.17/3.24/3.48
7 May 202221/224.36/3.91/1.75
22 Feb 202221/222.02/3.34/3.87

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Walsall

W 132D 109L 117
Over 2.545
Goals scored444

Away Record: Swindon Town

W 200D 108L 142
Over 2.555
Goals scored677

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026