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Milton Keynes Dons vs Gillingham

4 October 2025 at 12:30Stadium MK, Milton Keynes

Match Summary

Milton Keynes Dons defeated Gillingham 3:2. The match was played in League Two 2025.

Rivalry since 2013

Milton Keynes Dons vs Gillingham Head to Head Results· 18

Milton Keynes Dons and Gillingham have met 18 times — Milton Keynes Dons won 8, Gillingham won 9, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. Gillingham leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 18 meetings. A combined 58 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.22 per match (31 for the home side, 27 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 11 matches (61%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 games (61%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–5 in 2026.

Total goals
58 · 3.2/match
Both scored
11/18 · 61%
Over 2.5
11/18 · 61%

Recent Meetings

10/03/26League Two
Match Details
12/04/25League Two
Match Details
14/12/24League Two
Match Details
27/01/24League Two
Match Details
07/10/23League Two
Match Details
01/01/22League One
Match Details
18/09/21League One
Match Details
02/03/21League One
Match Details
17/10/20League One
Match Details
21/12/19League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 15 v 2026

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Milton Keynes Dons have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats. Gillingham show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Milton Keynes Dons3wins
0draws6 meetings
Gillingham3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.2

Average goals per game

67%

Games with 3+ goals

67%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (48%) — the odds may underestimate Milton Keynes Dons.

Market Summary

Margin: 7.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 51.5%Draw 28.6%Away 27.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.913.403.57
Max1.973.593.80
Over 2.5: 46.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite:Milton Keynes Dons · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market47.6%26.1%26.3%
Public market48.4%27.2%24.3%
Δ0.8%1.1%1.9%

Milton Keynes Dons vs Gillingham — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Milton Keynes Dons
Result vs. Market: Milton Keynes Dons (52%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Milton Keynes DonsHalf-time:10Gillingham
13Shots14
4Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

10 Mar 202625/263.30/3.25/2.10
4 Oct 202525/261.94/3.50/3.68
12 Apr 202524/252.12/3.36/3.35
14 Dec 202424/251.72/3.65/4.66
27 Jan 202423/241.97/3.45/3.86
7 Oct 202323/242.32/3.36/3.11

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 138D 62L 76
Over 2.553
Goals scored450

Away Record: Gillingham

W 140D 106L 122
Over 2.540
Goals scored446

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026