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Swindon Town vs Milton Keynes Dons

14 March 2026 at 15:00County Ground, Swindon

Match Summary

Milton Keynes Dons defeated Swindon Town 2:1. The match was played in League Two 2025.

Rivalry since 2012

Swindon Town vs Milton Keynes Dons Head to Head Results· 18

Swindon Town and Milton Keynes Dons have met 18 times — Swindon Town won 3, Milton Keynes Dons won 11, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Milton Keynes Dons leads the head-to-head with 11 victories from 18 meetings. A combined 55 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.06 per match (20 for the home side, 35 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 11 matches (61%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 games (61%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2023.

Total goals
55 · 3.1/match
Both scored
11/18 · 61%
Over 2.5
11/18 · 61%

Recent Meetings

26/12/25League Two
Match Details
11/11/25EFL Trophy
Match Details
03/05/25League Two
Match Details
09/11/24League Two
Match Details
17/02/24League Two
Match Details
28/10/23League Two
Match Details
24/04/21League One
Match Details
29/12/20League One
Match Details
09/02/19League Two
Match Details
01/09/18League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Swindon Town have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Milton Keynes Dons show 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Swindon Town3wins
2draws10 meetings
Milton Keynes Dons5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (31%) — the odds may underestimate Milton Keynes Dons.

Market Summary

Margin: 8.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 33.3%Draw 30.3%Away 44.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.003.302.25
Max3.003.302.25
Over 2.5: 53.2%Under 2.5: 50.5%
Market favourite:Milton Keynes Dons · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Milton Keynes Dons
Result vs. Market: Milton Keynes Dons (44%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Swindon TownHalf-time:01Milton Keynes Dons
12Shots11
5Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

14 Mar 202625/263.00/3.30/2.25
26 Dec 202525/261.91/3.60/3.60
3 May 202524/251.71/3.95/4.14
9 Nov 202424/251.96/3.53/3.66
17 Feb 202423/242.98/3.64/2.23
28 Oct 202323/242.47/3.68/2.68
9 Feb 201918/192.10/3.44/3.58
1 Sept 201818/192.90/3.47/2.45
9 Dec 200606/071.96/3.20/3.44
1 Jan 200706/071.97/3.25/3.35

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Swindon Town

W 200D 108L 142
Over 2.555
Goals scored677

Away Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 138D 62L 76
Over 2.553
Goals scored450

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026