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Aston Villa vs QPR

16 March 2013 at 15:00Villa Park (Birmingham)
32
Away

QPR

Match Summary

Aston Villa defeated QPR 3:2. The match was played in Premier League 2012.

Rivalry since 2011

Aston Villa vs QPR Head to Head Results· 11

Aston Villa and QPR have met 11 times — Aston Villa won 3, QPR won 3, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. A combined 30 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.73 per match (14 for the home side, 16 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (64%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (45%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. QPR are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2015.

Drawn
5
·
3
wins
Total goals
30 · 2.7/match
Both scored
7/11 · 64%
Over 2.5
5/11 · 45%

Recent Meetings

01/01/19Championship
Match Details
26/10/18Championship
Match Details
13/03/18Championship
Match Details
18/11/17Championship
Match Details
04/04/17Championship
Match Details
18/12/16Championship
Match Details
07/04/15Premier League
Match Details
27/10/14Premier League
Match Details
01/12/12Premier League
Match Details
01/02/12Premier League
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2015

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Aston Villa have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. QPR show 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

QPR

LLLLDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Aston Villa3wins
2draws8 meetings
QPR3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.6

Average goals per game

63%

Games with 3+ goals

63%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (75%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (44%) — the odds may underestimate Aston Villa.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 43.9%Draw 30.2%Away 29.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.243.103.20
Max2.303.433.53
Market favourite:Aston Villa · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market43.7%28.5%27.7%
Public market42.5%28.7%28.7%
Δ1.2%0.2%1.0%

Aston Villa vs QPR — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Aston Villa
Result vs. Market: Aston Villa (44%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Aston VillaHalf-time:11QPR
10Shots18
6Shots on target11

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

27/10/1414/152.34/3.22/3.32
4 Jul 201514/152.13/3.34/3.78
3 Sept 199695/96
23/12/9595/96
14/01/9594/95
29/10/9494/95
12 Apr 199393/94
14/08/9393/94

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Aston Villa

W 407D 317L 422
Over 2.549
Goals scored1443

Away Record: QPR

W 64D 53L 119
Over 2.555
Goals scored276

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026