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Swansea vs Aston Villa

26 April 2014 at 15:00Liberty Stadium (Swansea)
41

Match Summary

Swansea defeated Aston Villa 4:1. The match was played in Premier League 2013.

Rivalry since 2011

Swansea vs Aston Villa Head to Head Results· 12

Swansea and Aston Villa have met 12 times — Swansea won 6, Aston Villa won 3, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Swansea leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 12 meetings. A combined 21 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.75 per match (13 for the home side, 8 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (25%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (25%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2013.

6
wins
Drawn
3
·
Total goals
21 · 1.8/match
Both scored
3/12 · 25%
Over 2.5
3/12 · 25%

Recent Meetings

05/01/19FA Cup
Match Details
26/12/18Championship
Match Details
20/10/18Championship
Match Details
19/03/16Premier League
Match Details
24/10/15Premier League
Match Details
21/03/15Premier League
Match Details
26/12/14Premier League
Match Details
28/12/13Premier League
Match Details
01/01/13Premier League
Match Details
15/09/12Premier League
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2013

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Swansea have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Aston Villa show 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Swansea

WDWLWD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

33%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Swansea dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

5
wins
draws
1
6 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (58%) — the odds may underestimate Swansea.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

19 Mar 201615/161.69/3.67/5.85
Match Details
24 Oct 201515/163.03/3.14/2.60
Match Details
26/12/1414/151.75/3.66/5.19
21/03/1514/152.47/3.19/3.03
28/12/1313/142.91/3.25/2.60
26/04/1413/141.69/3.74/5.81

Market Summary

Margin: 3.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 59.3%Draw 26.8%Away 17.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.673.605.50
Max1.703.866.00
Market favourite:Swansea · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market58.0%25.4%16.5%
Public market57.6%26.1%16.3%

Swansea vs Aston Villa — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Swansea
Result vs. Market: Swansea (59%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SwanseaHalf-time:21Aston Villa
11Shots11
8Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Swansea

W 82D 66L 118
Over 2.549
Goals scored306

Away Record: Aston Villa

W 407D 317L 422
Over 2.549
Goals scored1443

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026