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Aston Villa vs Stoke City

21 February 2015 at 15:00Villa Park, Birmingham
Referee: Roger East

Match Summary

Stoke City defeated Aston Villa 2:1. The match was played in Premier League 2014.

Rivalry since 2010

Aston Villa vs Stoke City Head to Head Results· 15

Aston Villa and Stoke City have met 15 times — Aston Villa won 2, Stoke City won 7, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Stoke City leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 15 meetings. A combined 33 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.20 per match (13 for the home side, 20 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (60%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (40%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Stoke City are currently unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–4 in 2014.

Drawn
6
·
Total goals
33 · 2.2/match
Both scored
9/15 · 60%
Over 2.5
6/15 · 40%

Recent Meetings

24/07/21Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
01/10/20League Cup
Match Details
23/02/19Championship
Match Details
15/12/18Championship
Match Details
27/02/16Premier League
Match Details
03/10/15Premier League
Match Details
16/08/14Premier League
Match Details
23/03/14Premier League
Match Details
21/12/13Premier League
Match Details
06/04/13Premier League
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 14 v 2014

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Aston Villa have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Stoke City show 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

67%

Games with 3+ goals

67%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Stoke City dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
0
6 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (37%) — the odds may underestimate Stoke City.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

27 Feb 201615/161.66/3.63/5.89
Match Details
3 Oct 201515/162.50/3.28/3.04
Match Details
16/08/1414/151.95/3.39/4.42
21/02/1514/152.68/3.15/2.89
21/12/1313/142.29/3.21/3.48
23/03/1413/142.19/3.27/3.68

Market Summary

Margin: 3.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 37.3%Draw 31.7%Away 34.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.643.002.75
Max2.703.253.01
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market37.2%30.2%32.6%
Public market36.0%30.4%33.6%
Δ1.1%0.2%0.9%

Aston Villa vs Stoke City — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Stoke City
Result vs. Market: Aston Villa (37%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Aston VillaHalf-time:11Stoke City
3Shots11
2Shots on target6

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Aston Villa

W 407D 317L 422
Over 2.549
Goals scored1443

Away Record: Stoke City

W 116D 109L 155
Over 2.545
Goals scored398

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026