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Southampton vs Aston Villa

16 May 2015 at 12:45St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton, Hampshire)

Match Summary

Southampton defeated Aston Villa 6:1. The match was played in Premier League 2014.

Rivalry since 2012

Southampton vs Aston Villa Head to Head Results· 18

Southampton and Aston Villa have met 18 times — Southampton won 8, Aston Villa won 7, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Southampton leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 18 meetings. A combined 49 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.72 per match (25 for the home side, 24 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (44%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (44%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Aston Villa are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–4 in 2020.

Drawn
3
·
Total goals
49 · 2.7/match
Both scored
8/18 · 44%
Over 2.5
8/18 · 44%

Recent Meetings

12/04/25Premier League
Match Details
07/12/24Premier League
Match Details
21/01/23Premier League
Match Details
16/09/22Premier League
Match Details
05/03/22Premier League
Match Details
05/11/21Premier League
Match Details
30/01/21Premier League
Match Details
01/11/20Premier League
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22/02/20Premier League
Match Details
21/12/19Premier League
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 34 v 2020

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Southampton have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat. Aston Villa show 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

20%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Aston Villa dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
0
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (56%) — the odds may underestimate Aston Villa.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

12 Apr 202524/255.88/4.35/1.56
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7 Dec 202424/251.36/5.33/7.59
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21 Jan 202322/232.88/3.32/2.54
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16 Sept 202222/232.10/3.54/3.53
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5 Mar 202221/222.34/3.46/3.03
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5 Nov 202121/222.00/3.60/3.71
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30 Jan 202120/212.86/3.61/2.40
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1 Nov 202020/212.49/3.57/2.79
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22 Feb 202019/201.63/4.29/5.15
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21 Dec 201919/202.45/3.54/2.83
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Market Summary

Margin: 3.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 57.0%Draw 27.0%Away 19.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.753.505.00
Max1.763.835.25
Market favourite:Southampton · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market55.7%25.6%18.7%
Public market55.7%25.7%18.6%

Southampton vs Aston Villa — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Southampton
Result vs. Market: Southampton (57%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SouthamptonHalf-time:51Aston Villa
18Shots9
11Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Southampton

W 269D 243L 408
Over 2.549
Goals scored1086

Away Record: Aston Villa

W 407D 317L 422
Over 2.549
Goals scored1443

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026