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Burnley vs Middlesbrough

26 December 2016 at 15:00Turf Moor, Burnley
Referee: Craig Pawson

Match Summary

Burnley defeated Middlesbrough 1:0. The match was played in Premier League 2016.

Rivalry since 2011

Burnley vs Middlesbrough Head to Head Results· 14

4
wins
Drawn
5
·
Total goals
26 · 1.9/match
Both scored
6/14 · 43%
Over 2.5
4/14 · 29%

Recent Meetings

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17/12/22Championship
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08/04/17Premier League
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19/04/16Championship
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09/01/16FA Cup
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15/12/15Championship
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12/04/14Championship
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26/12/13Championship
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Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2012

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Burnley1wins
1draws2 meetings
Middlesbrough0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

0.5

Average goals per game

0%

Games with 3+ goals

0%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (32%) — the odds may underestimate Burnley.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 33.5%Draw 32.0%Away 38.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.903.102.60
Max3.063.182.64
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market32.0%30.8%37.1%
Public market32.8%30.7%36.6%

Burnley vs Middlesbrough — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Burnley
Result vs. Market: Middlesbrough (38%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BurnleyHalf-time:00Middlesbrough
6Shots8
4Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

26/12/1616/172.99/3.13/2.62
4 Aug 201716/172.42/3.08/3.35

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Burnley

W 92D 94L 192
Over 2.548
Goals scored378

Away Record: Middlesbrough

W 154D 158L 220
Over 2.544
Goals scored594

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026