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Stoke City vs Middlesbrough

4 March 2017 at 15:00bet365 Stadium, Stoke

Match Summary

Stoke City defeated Middlesbrough 2:0. The match was played in Premier League 2016.

Rivalry since 2016

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough Head to Head Results· 18

Stoke City and Middlesbrough have met 18 times — Stoke City won 4, Middlesbrough won 8, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Middlesbrough leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 18 meetings. A combined 40 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.22 per match (18 for the home side, 22 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (39%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (39%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Middlesbrough are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 0–5 in 2024.

Drawn
6
·
Total goals
40 · 2.2/match
Both scored
7/18 · 39%
Over 2.5
7/18 · 39%

Recent Meetings

21/01/26Championship
Match Details
30/09/25Championship
Match Details
25/02/25Championship
Match Details
28/09/24Championship
Match Details
27/08/24League Cup
Match Details
02/03/24Championship
Match Details
28/10/23Championship
Match Details
14/03/23Championship
Match Details
17/08/22Championship
Match Details
30/04/22Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 05 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Stoke City have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats. Middlesbrough show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Stoke City1wins
1draws2 meetings
Middlesbrough0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

0%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (49%) — the odds may underestimate Stoke City.

Market Summary

Margin: 2.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 50.8%Draw 30.0%Away 22.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.953.304.50
Max2.003.404.60
Market favourite:Stoke City · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market49.0%29.7%21.3%
Public market49.8%28.6%21.6%
Δ0.8%1.1%0.3%

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Stoke City
Result vs. Market: Stoke City (51%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Stoke CityHalf-time:20Middlesbrough
13Shots8
8Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

13/08/1616/172.37/3.18/3.34
3 Apr 201716/171.97/3.33/4.53

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Stoke City

W 116D 109L 155
Over 2.545
Goals scored398

Away Record: Middlesbrough

W 154D 158L 220
Over 2.544
Goals scored594

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026