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Sunderland vs Aston Villa

21 September 2025 at 14:00Stadium of Light, Sunderland

Match Summary

Sunderland and Aston Villa drew 1:1. The match was played in Premier League 2025.

Rivalry since 2010

Sunderland vs Aston Villa Head to Head Results· 15

Sunderland and Aston Villa have met 15 times — Sunderland won 3, Aston Villa won 7, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Aston Villa leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 15 meetings. A combined 40 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.67 per match (14 for the home side, 26 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (40%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (53%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Aston Villa are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–3 in 2026.

Drawn
5
·
Total goals
40 · 2.7/match
Both scored
6/15 · 40%
Over 2.5
8/15 · 53%

Recent Meetings

19/04/26Premier League
Match Details
06/03/18Championship
Match Details
21/11/17Championship
Match Details
02/01/16Premier League
Match Details
29/08/15Premier League
Match Details
14/03/15Premier League
Match Details
28/12/14Premier League
Match Details
01/01/14Premier League
Match Details
30/11/13Premier League
Match Details
29/04/13Premier League
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 43 v 2026

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Sunderland have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Aston Villa show 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
5
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (26%) — the odds may underestimate Sunderland.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

19 Apr 202625/261.67/3.75/5.50
Match Details
21 Sept 202525/263.55/3.44/2.12
Match Details
2 Jan 201615/162.46/3.23/3.15
Match Details
29 Aug 201515/161.92/3.40/4.62
Match Details
28/12/1414/152.36/3.22/3.33
14/03/1514/152.36/3.17/3.39
30/11/1313/142.02/3.38/4.09
1 Jan 201413/142.11/3.37/3.64
29/04/0099/00
18/10/9999/00

Market Summary

Margin: 4.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 28.1%Draw 29.1%Away 47.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.403.372.10
Max3.713.502.14
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite:Aston Villa · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market26.1%28.7%45.2%
Public market27.9%27.1%45.1%
Δ1.8%1.7%0.1%

Sunderland vs Aston Villa — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Aston Villa (47%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SunderlandHalf-time:00Aston Villa
14Shots12
4Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Sunderland

W 165D 171L 308
Over 2.545
Goals scored649

Away Record: Aston Villa

W 407D 317L 422
Over 2.549
Goals scored1443

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026