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Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar

13 April 2025 at 13:30Asito Stadion, Almelo

Match Summary

Heracles defeated AZ Alkmaar 1:0. The match was played in Eredivisie 2024.

Rivalry since 2010

Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar Head to Head Results· 29

Heracles and AZ Alkmaar have met 29 times — Heracles won 4, AZ Alkmaar won 23, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. AZ Alkmaar leads the head-to-head with 23 victories from 29 meetings. A combined 104 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.59 per match (30 for the home side, 74 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 17 matches (59%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 23 games (79%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. AZ Alkmaar are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–6 in 2016.

Drawn
2
·
Total goals
104 · 3.6/match
Both scored
17/29 · 59%
Over 2.5
23/29 · 79%

Recent Meetings

15/03/26Eredivisie
Match Details
14/09/25Eredivisie
Match Details
01/12/24Eredivisie
Match Details
03/04/24Eredivisie
Match Details
28/09/23Eredivisie
Match Details
19/02/22Eredivisie
Match Details
15/12/21KNVB Beker
Match Details
19/09/21Eredivisie
Match Details
16/05/21Eredivisie
Match Details
29/11/20Eredivisie
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 36 v 2016

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Heracles have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats. AZ Alkmaar show 1 win, 5 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Heracles

LLLLLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

AZ Alkmaar dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Heracles3wins
1draws10 meetings
AZ Alkmaar6wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.2

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (24%) — the odds may underestimate Heracles.

Market Summary

Margin: 7.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 25.5%Draw 28.2%Away 53.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.843.501.84
Max4.003.601.90
Over 2.5: 52.6%Under 2.5: 51.3%
Market favourite:AZ Alkmaar · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market24.1%25.7%50.2%
Public market23.5%26.9%49.6%
Δ0.5%1.2%0.7%

Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Heracles
Result vs. Market: AZ Alkmaar (53%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

HeraclesHalf-time:00AZ Alkmaar
7Shots10
3Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

15 Mar 202625/261.42/5.00/6.50
14 Sept 202525/265.95/4.54/1.50
13 Apr 202524/253.92/3.55/1.87
1 Dec 202424/251.33/5.26/8.30
3 Apr 202423/246.83/4.79/1.43
28 Sept 202323/241.26/5.90/9.39
19 Feb 202221/221.39/4.85/8.18
19 Sept 202121/224.06/3.68/1.85
16 May 202120/211.49/4.59/5.79
29 Nov 202020/214.38/4.25/1.70

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Heracles

W 211D 147L 313
Over 2.560
Goals scored900

Away Record: AZ Alkmaar

W 476D 211L 289
Over 2.562
Goals scored1759

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026