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Marseille vs Valenciennes

29 January 2014 at 18:00Stade Vélodrome (Marseille)

Match Summary

Marseille defeated Valenciennes 2:1. The match was played in Ligue 1 2013.

Rivalry since 2010

Marseille vs Valenciennes Head to Head Results· 7

Marseille and Valenciennes have met 7 times — Marseille won 2, Valenciennes won 2, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. A combined 20 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.86 per match (9 for the home side, 11 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (71%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (43%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–1 in 2012.

Drawn
3
·
Total goals
20 · 2.9/match
Both scored
5/7 · 71%
Over 2.5
3/7 · 43%

Recent Meetings

24/08/13Ligue 1
Match Details
16/02/13Ligue 1
Match Details
30/09/12Ligue 1
Match Details
18/02/12Ligue 1
Match Details
24/09/11Ligue 1
Match Details
21/05/11Ligue 1
Match Details
14/08/10Ligue 1
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 41 v 2012

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Marseille have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Valenciennes show 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Marseille dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
0
2 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (64%) — the odds may underestimate Marseille.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

24/08/1313/143.76/3.23/2.11
29/01/1413/141.52/3.83/6.69

Market Summary

Margin: 7.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 65.8%Draw 26.1%Away 14.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.503.605.50
Max1.534.157.58
Market favourite:Marseille · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market63.7%23.5%12.9%
Public market61.5%25.1%13.4%
Δ2.2%1.6%0.6%

Marseille vs Valenciennes — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Marseille
Result vs. Market: Marseille (66%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MarseilleHalf-time:11Valenciennes
12Shots8
3Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Marseille

W 527D 305L 303
Over 2.547
Goals scored1676

Away Record: Valenciennes

W 88D 88L 128
Over 2.545
Goals scored334

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026