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Bastia vs Lille

21 February 2015 at 19:00Stade Armand Césari (Furiani)
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Bastia

21
Away

Lille

Match Summary

Bastia defeated Lille 2:1. The match was played in Ligue 1 2014.

Rivalry since 2012

Bastia vs Lille Head to Head Results· 11

Bastia and Lille have met 11 times — Bastia won 1, Lille won 7, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Lille leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 11 meetings. A combined 23 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.09 per match (8 for the home side, 15 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (55%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (45%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Lille are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–1 in 2016.

1
wins
Drawn
3
·
7
wins
Total goals
23 · 2.1/match
Both scored
6/11 · 55%
Over 2.5
5/11 · 45%

Recent Meetings

01/04/17Ligue 1
Match Details
22/10/16Ligue 1
Match Details
12/03/16Ligue 1
Match Details
07/11/15Ligue 1
Match Details
03/01/15Coupe de France
Match Details
27/09/14Ligue 1
Match Details
02/05/14Ligue 1
Match Details
15/12/13Ligue 1
Match Details
21/04/13Ligue 1
Match Details
01/12/12Ligue 1
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 21 v 2016

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Bastia have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Lille show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Bastia

LWDWLD

Lille

LWDWDW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Bastia2wins
3draws10 meetings
Lille5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (34%) — the odds may underestimate Lille.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 35.8%Draw 33.2%Away 35.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.702.942.70
Max2.883.102.96
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market33.9%33.2%33.0%
Public market33.9%31.6%34.5%
Δ1.6%1.5%

Bastia vs Lille — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Bastia
Result vs. Market: Bastia (36%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BastiaHalf-time:21Lille
7Shots10
5Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

22/10/1616/171.74/3.40/5.56
4 Jan 201716/173.50/3.01/2.35
11 Jul 201515/161.70/3.48/5.83
3 Dec 201615/163.04/2.93/2.67
27/09/1414/151.57/3.68/6.92
21/02/1514/152.79/3.01/2.80
15/12/1313/141.45/4.32/7.77
5 Feb 201413/145.56/3.67/1.68
14/12/9696/97
28/08/9696/97

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bastia

W 190D 149L 249
Over 2.543
Goals scored641

Away Record: Lille

W 468D 328L 313
Over 2.542
Goals scored1446

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026