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Lille vs Marseille

4 May 2025 at 19:45Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
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Lille

11
Referee: E. Wattellier

Match Summary

Lille and Marseille drew 1:1. The match was played in Ligue 1 2024.

Rivalry since 2010

Lille vs Marseille Head to Head Results· 31

Lille and Marseille have met 31 times — Lille won 11, Marseille won 12, with 8 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Marseille leads the head-to-head with 12 victories from 31 meetings. A combined 73 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.35 per match (34 for the home side, 39 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 17 matches (55%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 games (48%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Lille are currently unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–1 in 2018.

11
wins
Drawn
8
·
12
wins
Total goals
73 · 2.4/match
Both scored
17/31 · 55%
Over 2.5
15/31 · 48%

Recent Meetings

22/03/26Ligue 1
Match Details
05/12/25Ligue 1
Match Details
14/12/24Ligue 1
Match Details
05/04/24Ligue 1
Match Details
04/11/23Ligue 1
Match Details
20/05/23Ligue 1
Match Details
10/09/22Ligue 1
Match Details
16/01/22Ligue 1
Match Details
03/10/21Ligue 1
Match Details
03/03/21Ligue 1
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 51 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Lille have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Marseille show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Lille

LWDWDW

Marseille

WWLDLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Lille5wins
4draws10 meetings
Marseille1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (41%) — the odds may underestimate Lille.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 42.4%Draw 29.9%Away 32.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.353.253.10
Max2.373.433.13
Over 2.5: 52.6%Under 2.5: 50.0%
Market favourite:Lille · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market40.8%28.2%30.9%
Public market40.3%29.1%30.6%

Lille vs Marseille — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Lille (42%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

LilleHalf-time:00Marseille
5Shots13
1Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

22 Mar 202625/261.91/3.75/3.80
5 Dec 202525/262.34/3.59/2.96
4 May 202524/252.36/3.34/3.12
14 Dec 202424/252.18/3.47/3.32
5 Apr 202423/242.04/3.41/3.75
4 Nov 202323/242.20/3.56/3.14
20 May 202322/232.43/3.64/2.76
10 Sept 202222/231.98/3.62/3.83
16 Jan 202221/222.32/3.37/3.13
3 Oct 202121/222.47/3.28/2.98

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Lille

W 468D 328L 313
Over 2.542
Goals scored1446

Away Record: Marseille

W 527D 305L 303
Over 2.547
Goals scored1676

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026