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Ligue 1Season 2025

Marseille vs Rennes

17 May 2026 at 20:00Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
31
Away

Rennes

Referee: R. Buquet

Match Summary

Marseille defeated Rennes 3:1. The match was played in Ligue 1 2025. Goals were scored by P. Højbjerg 2′, A. Gouiri 10′, P. Aubameyang 55′, E. Lepaul 84′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Marseille had 45% possession while Rennes held 55%. Marseille had 27 shots (11 on target) compared to 27 (6 on target) for Rennes. Expected goals: Marseille 2.92 — Rennes 2.49. Marseille made 4 substitutions, Rennes made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between Marseille and Rennes — 4 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
P. Højbjerg

assist: M. Greenwood

2′
Half Time
46′
S. SzymańskiB. Embolo
67′
Mousa TamariA. Nordin
Igor PaixãoA. Vermeeren
72′
79′
L. BlasN. Mukiele
P. HøjbjergQ. Timber
82′
T. NnadiNouhoum Kamissoko
82′
84′
E. Lepaul

assist: A. Nordin

B. Pavard90+5′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Marseille had 45% possession against Rennes's 55%. Marseille registered 27 shots (11 on target) while Rennes managed 27 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 4–11. Fouls committed: 11–10.

Shots on Goal
11
6
Shots Off Goal
9
14
Total Shots
27
27
Blocked Shots
7
7
Shots inside the Box
19
20
Shots outside the Box
8
7
Fouls
11
10
Corner Kicks
4
11
Offsides
2
2
Ball Possession
45%
55%
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
8
Total Passes
399
463
Accurate Passes
329
394
Pass Accuracy
82%
85%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.92
2.49
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.21
-0.21

Rivalry since 2010

Marseille vs Rennes Head to Head Results· 34

Marseille and Rennes have met 34 times — Marseille won 16, Rennes won 10, with 8 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Marseille leads the head-to-head with 16 victories from 34 meetings. A combined 85 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.50 per match (49 for the home side, 36 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 16 matches (47%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 games (41%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–5 in 2016.

16
wins
Drawn
8
·
10
wins
Total goals
85 · 2.5/match
Both scored
16/34 · 47%
Over 2.5
14/34 · 41%

Recent Meetings

03/02/26Coupe de France
Match Details
15/08/25Ligue 1
Match Details
17/05/25Ligue 1
Match Details
11/01/25Ligue 1
Match Details
17/03/24Ligue 1
Match Details
03/12/23Ligue 1
Match Details
05/03/23Ligue 1
Match Details
20/01/23Coupe de France
Match Details
18/09/22Ligue 1
Match Details
14/05/22Ligue 1
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 25 v 2016

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Marseille have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Rennes show 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Marseille

WWLDLW

Rennes

LWLWWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Marseille dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
10 meetings
3
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (47%) — the odds may underestimate Marseille.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

17 May 202625/261.95/3.70/3.25
Match Details
15 Aug 202525/263.57/3.59/2.08
Match Details
17 May 202524/251.75/3.96/4.20
Match Details
11 Jan 202524/253.00/3.28/2.41
Match Details
17 Mar 202423/242.49/3.43/2.82
Match Details
3 Dec 202323/241.89/3.78/3.85
Match Details
5 Mar 202322/232.78/3.51/2.50
Match Details
18 Sept 202222/232.05/3.59/3.60
Match Details
14 May 202221/222.01/3.72/3.55
Match Details
19 Sept 202121/221.94/3.51/3.95
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 9.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 51.3%Draw 27.0%Away 30.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.953.703.25
Max1.953.703.25
Over 2.5: 63.7%Under 2.5: 42.0%
Market favourite:Marseille · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Marseille
Result vs. Market: Marseille (51%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MarseilleHalf-time:20Rennes
27Shots27
11Shots on target6

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Marseille

W 528D 305L 303
Over 2.547
Goals scored1679

Away Record: Rennes

W 451D 309L 414
Over 2.546
Goals scored1533

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 Jun 2026