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Ajaccio vs Estac Troyes

30 August 2024 at 19:00Stade Michel-Moretti, Ajaccio
21
Referee: A. Petit

Match Summary

Ajaccio defeated Estac Troyes 2:1. The match was played in Ligue 2 2024.

Rivalry since 2010

Ajaccio vs Estac Troyes Head to Head Results· 19

Ajaccio and Estac Troyes have met 19 times — Ajaccio won 7, Estac Troyes won 9, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Estac Troyes leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 19 meetings. A combined 47 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.47 per match (21 for the home side, 26 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (47%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 games (58%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–4 in 2014.

7
wins
Drawn
3
·
Total goals
47 · 2.5/match
Both scored
9/19 · 47%
Over 2.5
11/19 · 58%

Recent Meetings

11/04/25Ligue 2
Match Details
13/01/24Ligue 2
Match Details
11/11/23Ligue 2
Match Details
26/02/23Ligue 1
Match Details
16/10/22Ligue 1
Match Details
27/02/21Ligue 2
Match Details
31/10/20Ligue 2
Match Details
21/12/19Ligue 2
Match Details
17/05/19Ligue 2
Match Details
27/07/18Ligue 2
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 14 v 2014

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 0 matches, Ajaccio have recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats. Estac Troyes show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Ajaccio3wins
2draws10 meetings
Estac Troyes5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (45%) — the odds may underestimate Ajaccio.

Market Summary

Margin: 7.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 48.6%Draw 32.9%Away 25.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.003.003.75
Max2.123.104.18
Over 2.5: 37.0%Under 2.5: 69.4%
Market favourite:Ajaccio · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market45.3%31.7%23.0%
Public market45.6%30.4%24.0%
Δ0.3%1.3%1.0%

Ajaccio vs Estac Troyes — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Ajaccio
Result vs. Market: Ajaccio (49%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AjaccioHalf-time:01Estac Troyes
23Shots8
5Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

11 Apr 202524/251.87/3.26/4.71
30 Aug 202424/252.06/3.04/3.91
13 Jan 202423/242.71/3.01/2.71
11 Nov 202323/241.85/3.31/4.44
27 Feb 202120/211.79/3.39/4.93
31 Oct 202020/212.91/2.99/2.66
21 Dec 201919/202.15/2.95/4.02
17 May 201918/192.69/3.10/2.79
27 Jul 201818/192.19/3.18/3.46
8 May 201616/171.96/3.15/4.37

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Ajaccio

W 259D 202L 247
Over 2.536
Goals scored756

Away Record: Estac Troyes

W 290D 177L 206
Over 2.542
Goals scored860

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026