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Estac Troyes vs Guingamp

14 March 2025 at 19:00Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
Referee: G. Kubler

Match Summary

Guingamp defeated Estac Troyes 1:0. The match was played in Ligue 2 2024.

Rivalry since 2011

Estac Troyes vs Guingamp Head to Head Results· 14

Estac Troyes and Guingamp have met 14 times — Estac Troyes won 4, Guingamp won 7, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Guingamp leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 14 meetings. A combined 30 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.14 per match (10 for the home side, 20 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (21%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (36%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–2 in 2025.

Drawn
3
·
Total goals
30 · 2.1/match
Both scored
3/14 · 21%
Over 2.5
5/14 · 36%

Recent Meetings

24/01/26Ligue 2
Match Details
20/09/25Ligue 2
Match Details
16/08/24Ligue 2
Match Details
02/03/24Ligue 2
Match Details
25/11/23Ligue 2
Match Details
03/04/21Ligue 2
Match Details
01/12/20Ligue 2
Match Details
16/12/19Ligue 2
Match Details
07/04/18Ligue 1
Match Details
02/12/17Ligue 1
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 52 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Estac Troyes have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Guingamp show 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Estac Troyes4wins
2draws10 meetings
Guingamp4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.9

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

20%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (36%) — the odds may underestimate Estac Troyes.

Market Summary

Margin: 7.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 38.4%Draw 32.5%Away 36.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.503.002.70
Max2.703.122.88
Over 2.5: 44.4%Under 2.5: 61.7%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market35.7%30.9%33.4%
Public market36.6%29.5%33.9%
Δ0.9%1.4%0.4%

Estac Troyes vs Guingamp — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Guingamp
Result vs. Market: Estac Troyes (38%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Estac TroyesHalf-time:00Guingamp
15Shots7
3Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

24 Jan 202625/262.55/3.10/2.55
20 Sept 202525/261.83/3.62/3.96
14 Mar 202524/252.61/3.07/2.76
16 Aug 202424/251.76/3.46/4.67
2 Mar 202423/241.76/3.56/4.81
25 Nov 202323/243.31/3.34/2.11
3 Apr 202120/211.71/3.58/5.09
1 Dec 202020/212.78/2.96/2.73
16 Dec 201919/202.42/3.00/3.15
16/09/1111/121.88/3.19/4.26

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Estac Troyes

W 290D 177L 206
Over 2.542
Goals scored860

Away Record: Guingamp

W 225D 204L 199
Over 2.542
Goals scored781

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026