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Bastia vs Caen

10 May 2025 at 16:00Stade Armand-Césari, Furiani
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Bastia

21
Away

Caen

Referee: M. Leleu

Match Summary

Bastia defeated Caen 2:1. The match was played in Ligue 2 2024.

Rivalry since 2014

Bastia vs Caen Head to Head Results· 13

Bastia and Caen have met 13 times — Bastia won 2, Caen won 6, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2014. Caen leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 13 meetings. A combined 25 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.92 per match (9 for the home side, 16 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (54%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (23%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Caen are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2023.

2
wins
Drawn
5
·
6
wins
Total goals
25 · 1.9/match
Both scored
7/13 · 54%
Over 2.5
3/13 · 23%

Recent Meetings

02/11/24Ligue 2
Match Details
23/01/24Ligue 2
Match Details
02/12/23Ligue 2
Match Details
03/02/23Ligue 2
Match Details
26/12/22Ligue 2
Match Details
26/02/22Ligue 2
Match Details
18/09/21Ligue 2
Match Details
28/01/17Ligue 1
Match Details
27/08/16Ligue 1
Match Details
30/04/16Ligue 1
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 31 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Bastia have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Caen show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Bastia

LWDWLD

Caen

LDWWWD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Caen dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Bastia2wins
1draws8 meetings
Caen5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

63%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (63%) — the odds may underestimate Caen.

Market Summary

Margin: 7.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 67.6%Draw 22.9%Away 17.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.484.335.75
Max1.484.405.85
Over 2.5: 63.7%Under 2.5: 42.6%
Market favourite:Bastia · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market62.9%21.2%15.9%
Public market62.5%21.4%16.1%

Bastia vs Caen — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Bastia
Result vs. Market: Bastia (68%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BastiaHalf-time:11Caen
27Shots4
11Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

10 May 202524/251.48/4.37/5.80
2 Nov 202424/252.18/3.20/3.36
23 Jan 202423/242.33/3.03/3.19
2 Dec 202323/241.85/3.48/4.14
3 Feb 202322/232.14/2.96/3.88
26 Dec 202222/232.88/3.00/2.59
26 Feb 202221/222.42/2.97/3.11
18 Sept 202121/222.25/3.10/3.35

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bastia

W 145D 118L 146
Over 2.538
Goals scored483

Away Record: Caen

W 260D 209L 205
Over 2.546
Goals scored894

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026