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2. BundesligaSeason 2018

FC St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel

28 October 2018 at 12:30Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg - St. Pauli
Referee: Bastian Dankert

Match Summary

Holstein Kiel defeated FC St. Pauli 1:0. The match was played in 2. Bundesliga 2018.

Rivalry since 2017

FC St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel Head to Head Results· 17

FC St. Pauli and Holstein Kiel have met 17 times — FC St. Pauli won 9, Holstein Kiel won 6, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2017. FC St. Pauli leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 17 meetings. A combined 59 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.47 per match (31 for the home side, 28 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 11 matches (65%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 games (76%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. FC St. Pauli are currently unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–4 in 2024.

Drawn
2
·
Total goals
59 · 3.5/match
Both scored
11/17 · 65%
Over 2.5
13/17 · 76%

Recent Meetings

12/04/25Bundesliga
Match Details
29/11/24Bundesliga
Match Details
23/02/242. Bundesliga
Match Details
17/09/232. Bundesliga
Match Details
19/05/232. Bundesliga
Match Details
08/11/222. Bundesliga
Match Details
25/06/22Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
17/12/212. Bundesliga
Match Details
25/07/212. Bundesliga
Match Details
07/05/212. Bundesliga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 34 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, FC St. Pauli have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats. Holstein Kiel show 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.8

Average goals per game

80%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate FC St. Pauli.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

23 Feb 202423/243.02/3.50/2.25
Match Details
17 Sept 202323/241.82/3.77/3.93
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19 May 202322/233.04/3.89/2.15
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8 Nov 202222/232.21/3.49/3.18
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17 Dec 202121/222.77/3.68/2.36
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25 Jul 202121/222.53/3.45/2.68
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7 May 202120/212.30/3.64/2.93
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9 Jan 202120/213.76/3.69/1.92
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10 Feb 202019/201.93/3.59/3.87
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26 Aug 201919/202.99/3.56/2.28
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 42.9%Draw 30.1%Away 32.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.303.203.00
Max2.373.483.13
Market favourite:FC St. Pauli · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market41.5%27.7%30.8%
Public market39.9%29.6%30.5%
Δ1.6%1.9%0.3%

FC St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Holstein Kiel
Result vs. Market: FC St. Pauli (43%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

FC St. PauliHalf-time:00Holstein Kiel
17Shots9
6Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: FC St. Pauli

W 313D 217L 256
Over 2.553
Goals scored1145

Away Record: Holstein Kiel

W 112D 74L 86
Over 2.562
Goals scored454

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026