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VfB Stuttgart vs Holstein Kiel

20 October 2019 at 12:30Mercedes-Benz-Arena, Stuttgart

Match Summary

Holstein Kiel defeated VfB Stuttgart 1:0. The match was played in 2. Bundesliga 2019.

Rivalry since 2015

VfB Stuttgart vs Holstein Kiel Head to Head Results· 5

Drawn
1
·
Total goals
18 · 3.6/match
Both scored
4/5 · 80%
Over 2.5
5/5 · 100%

Recent Meetings

04/02/26DFB-Pokal
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08/03/25Bundesliga
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26/10/24Bundesliga
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24/05/202. Bundesliga
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08/08/15DFB-Pokal
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Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2020

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Holstein Kiel dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

VfB Stuttgart0wins
0draws2 meetings
Holstein Kiel2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (58%) — the odds may underestimate Holstein Kiel.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 61.7%Draw 23.3%Away 20.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.604.174.50
Max1.654.505.18
Over 2.5: 69.4%Under 2.5: 37.0%
Market favourite:VfB Stuttgart · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market58.3%23.1%18.6%
Public market58.3%20.9%20.9%
Δ2.2%2.3%

VfB Stuttgart vs Holstein Kiel — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Holstein Kiel
Result vs. Market: VfB Stuttgart (62%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

VfB StuttgartHalf-time:00Holstein Kiel
18Shots12
4Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

24 May 202019/203.35/3.53/2.10
20 Oct 201919/201.62/4.29/4.83

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: VfB Stuttgart

W 38D 13L 17
Over 2.560
Goals scored125

Away Record: Holstein Kiel

W 112D 74L 85
Over 2.562
Goals scored453

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026