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Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel

30 October 2021 at 19:30Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Referee: M. Fritz

Match Summary

Hamburger SV and Holstein Kiel drew 1:1. The match was played in 2. Bundesliga 2021.

Rivalry since 2018

Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel Head to Head Results· 11

Hamburger SV and Holstein Kiel have met 11 times — Hamburger SV won 1, Holstein Kiel won 5, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2018. Holstein Kiel leads the head-to-head with 5 victories from 11 meetings. A combined 32 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.91 per match (12 for the home side, 20 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (64%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (45%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Holstein Kiel are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2023.

Drawn
5
·
Total goals
32 · 2.9/match
Both scored
7/11 · 64%
Over 2.5
5/11 · 45%

Recent Meetings

20/04/242. Bundesliga
Match Details
11/11/232. Bundesliga
Match Details
18/03/232. Bundesliga
Match Details
09/09/222. Bundesliga
Match Details
10/04/222. Bundesliga
Match Details
08/03/212. Bundesliga
Match Details
09/11/202. Bundesliga
Match Details
08/06/202. Bundesliga
Match Details
09/11/192. Bundesliga
Match Details
23/12/182. Bundesliga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Hamburger SV have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Holstein Kiel show 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Hamburger SV1wins
6draws10 meetings
Holstein Kiel3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (56%) — the odds may underestimate Holstein Kiel.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 59.2%Draw 25.4%Away 20.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.663.754.60
Max1.744.085.00
Over 2.5: 62.5%Under 2.5: 43.5%
Market favourite:Hamburger SV · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market55.8%23.8%20.4%
Public market57.2%23.8%19.0%
Δ1.4%1.4%

Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Hamburger SV (59%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Hamburger SVHalf-time:10Holstein Kiel
15Shots13
3Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

20 Apr 202423/242.04/3.90/3.18
11 Nov 202323/243.23/4.01/2.00
18 Mar 202322/231.74/4.10/4.24
9 Sept 202222/233.68/3.71/1.93
10 Apr 202221/223.60/3.83/1.94
30 Oct 202121/221.69/3.94/4.79
8 Mar 202120/212.13/3.40/3.45
9 Nov 202020/212.92/3.40/2.36
8 Jun 202019/201.60/3.97/5.50
9 Nov 201919/203.62/3.60/2.00

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Hamburger SV

W 115D 66L 57
Over 2.562
Goals scored457

Away Record: Holstein Kiel

W 112D 74L 85
Over 2.562
Goals scored453

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026