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Vfb Stuttgart vs Fsv Mainz 05

26 August 2017 at 14:30Mercedes-Benz Arena, Stuttgart
Referee: Benjamin Brand

Match Summary

VfB Stuttgart defeated FSV Mainz 05 1:0. The match was played in Bundesliga 2017.

Rivalry since 2010

VfB Stuttgart vs FSV Mainz 05 Head to Head Results· 29

Drawn
7
·
Total goals
93 · 3.2/match
Both scored
20/29 · 69%
Over 2.5
18/29 · 62%

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Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

VfB Stuttgart5wins
4draws10 meetings
FSV Mainz 051wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.3

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

80%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate VfB Stuttgart.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 43.4%Draw 29.5%Away 31.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.303.203.10
Max2.323.563.25
Market favourite:VfB Stuttgart · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market42.3%27.5%30.2%
Public market41.3%28.0%30.7%

VfB Stuttgart vs FSV Mainz 05 — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

VfB Stuttgart
Result vs. Market: VfB Stuttgart (43%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

VfB StuttgartHalf-time:00FSV Mainz 05
17Shots13
4Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

7 Mar 202625/263.20/3.60/2.15
26 Oct 202525/261.77/4.06/4.29
25 Jan 202524/252.83/3.48/2.46
31 Aug 202424/251.63/4.25/5.11
11 Feb 202423/241.43/4.67/7.15
16 Sept 202323/242.50/3.47/2.67
21 May 202322/232.51/3.55/2.71
21 Jan 202322/232.41/3.51/2.90
16 Apr 202221/222.03/3.54/3.72
26 Nov 202121/222.91/3.30/2.51

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: VfB Stuttgart

W 410D 269L 374
Over 2.557
Goals scored1619

Away Record: FSV Mainz 05

W 224D 180L 275
Over 2.554
Goals scored901

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026