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Larisa vs AEK Athens FC

17 October 2016 at 17:30AEL FC Arena, Larissa
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Larisa

12
Referee: Georgios Kominis

Match Summary

AEK Athens FC defeated Larisa 2:1. The match was played in Super League 1 2016.

Rivalry since 2015

Larisa vs AEK Athens FC Head to Head Results· 16

Larisa and AEK Athens FC have met 16 times — Larisa won 2, AEK Athens FC won 9, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2015. AEK Athens FC leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 16 meetings. A combined 37 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.31 per match (8 for the home side, 29 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (31%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (44%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. AEK Athens FC are currently unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–4 in 2021.

2
wins
Drawn
5
·
Total goals
37 · 2.3/match
Both scored
5/16 · 31%
Over 2.5
7/16 · 44%

Recent Meetings

07/03/26Super League 1
Match Details
21/09/25Super League 1
Match Details
15/02/21Super League 1
Match Details
22/11/20Super League 1
Match Details
19/01/20Super League 1
Match Details
05/10/19Super League 1
Match Details
21/04/19Super League 1
Match Details
16/12/18Super League 1
Match Details
18/04/18Cup
Match Details
01/03/18Cup
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 24 v 2021

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Larisa have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. AEK Athens FC show 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Larisa1wins
4draws10 meetings
AEK Athens FC5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (20%) — the odds may underestimate AEK Athens FC.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 21.5%Draw 30.4%Away 54.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min4.503.101.80
Max4.853.401.92
Market favourite:AEK Athens FC · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market20.1%29.0%50.8%
Public market20.4%27.6%52.1%
Δ0.3%1.5%1.2%

Larisa vs AEK Athens FC — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

AEK Athens FC
Result vs. Market: AEK Athens FC (54%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

LarisaHalf-time:12AEK Athens FC

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

7 Mar 202625/261.19/6.00/10.00
21 Sept 202525/267.72/4.53/1.39
15 Feb 202120/216.78/3.80/1.51
22 Nov 202020/211.25/5.39/12.24
19 Jan 202019/201.40/4.23/8.63
5 Oct 201919/204.41/3.30/1.91
21 Apr 201918/191.43/4.10/8.23
16 Dec 201818/195.98/3.36/1.68
9 Oct 201717/181.21/6.15/14.50
20/01/1817/187.20/3.68/1.54

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Larisa

W 116D 140L 182
Over 2.541
Goals scored423

Away Record: AEK Athens FC

W 464D 181L 162
Over 2.549
Goals scored1395

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026