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Cagliari vs Fiorentina

30 March 2013 at 14:00Stadio Is Arenas (Quartu Sant'Elena)
21

Match Summary

Cagliari defeated Fiorentina 2:1. The match was played in Serie A 2012.

Rivalry since 2010

Cagliari vs Fiorentina Head to Head Results· 27

Cagliari and Fiorentina have met 27 times — Cagliari won 6, Fiorentina won 13, with 8 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Fiorentina leads the head-to-head with 13 victories from 27 meetings. A combined 66 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.44 per match (26 for the home side, 40 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 13 matches (48%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 games (44%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–5 in 2016.

Drawn
8
·
Total goals
66 · 2.4/match
Both scored
13/27 · 48%
Over 2.5
12/27 · 44%

Recent Meetings

24/01/26Serie A
Match Details
24/08/25Serie A
Match Details
23/04/25Serie A
Match Details
08/12/24Serie A
Match Details
23/05/24Serie A
Match Details
02/10/23Serie A
Match Details
23/01/22Serie A
Match Details
24/10/21Serie A
Match Details
12/05/21Serie A
Match Details
10/01/21Serie A
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 35 v 2016

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Cagliari have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Fiorentina show 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Cagliari

WWLDWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Fiorentina dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Cagliari1wins
3draws10 meetings
Fiorentina6wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (28%) — the odds may underestimate Fiorentina.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 29.7%Draw 31.0%Away 44.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.253.102.25
Max3.543.392.30
Market favourite:Fiorentina · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market27.7%28.9%43.4%
Public market28.6%29.5%41.9%
Δ0.9%0.6%1.5%

Cagliari vs Fiorentina — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Cagliari
Result vs. Market: Fiorentina (44%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CagliariHalf-time:20Fiorentina
9Shots23
5Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

24 Jan 202625/261.62/3.80/5.75
24 Aug 202525/263.31/3.31/2.27
23 Apr 202524/253.11/3.16/2.48
8 Dec 202424/251.51/4.46/5.99
23 May 202423/244.27/3.80/1.81
2 Oct 202323/241.47/4.26/6.99
23 Jan 202221/225.47/4.05/1.61
24 Oct 202121/221.68/4.01/5.18
12 May 202120/212.53/3.09/3.11
10 Jan 202120/211.77/3.87/4.54

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Cagliari

W 259D 273L 430
Over 2.549
Goals scored1086

Away Record: Fiorentina

W 441D 315L 350
Over 2.551
Goals scored1613

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026