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Palermo vs Fiorentina

30 April 2017 at 14:00Renzo Barbera, Palermo
20
Referee: Paolo Tagliavento

Match Summary

Palermo defeated Fiorentina 2:0. The match was played in Serie A 2016.

Rivalry since 2010

Palermo vs Fiorentina Head to Head Results· 11

Palermo and Fiorentina have met 11 times — Palermo won 2, Fiorentina won 7, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Fiorentina leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 11 meetings. A combined 34 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.09 per match (13 for the home side, 21 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (55%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (64%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Fiorentina are currently unbeaten in the last 8 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–3 in 2015.

2
wins
Drawn
2
·
Total goals
34 · 3.1/match
Both scored
6/11 · 55%
Over 2.5
7/11 · 64%

Recent Meetings

04/12/16Serie A
Match Details
08/05/16Serie A
Match Details
06/01/16Serie A
Match Details
24/05/15Serie A
Match Details
11/01/15Serie A
Match Details
12/05/13Serie A
Match Details
22/12/12Serie A
Match Details
11/04/12Serie A
Match Details
27/11/11Serie A
Match Details
13/02/11Serie A
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 43 v 2015

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Palermo have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Fiorentina show 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Palermo

WLLWDW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Fiorentina dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Palermo1wins
1draws6 meetings
Fiorentina4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.5

Average goals per game

67%

Games with 3+ goals

67%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (33%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (11%) — the odds may underestimate Palermo.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 12.6%Draw 20.9%Away 70.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min7.004.501.40
Max8.835.091.44
Market favourite:Fiorentina · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market11.1%19.3%69.6%
Public market11.9%20.1%68.0%
Δ0.8%0.8%1.6%

Palermo vs Fiorentina — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Palermo
Result vs. Market: Fiorentina (71%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PalermoHalf-time:10Fiorentina
10Shots13
2Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

12 Apr 201616/171.31/5.50/11.19
30/04/1716/177.94/4.78/1.42
1 Jun 201615/164.52/3.62/1.83
5 Aug 201615/161.99/3.50/3.86
1 Nov 201514/151.73/3.68/5.11
24/05/1514/153.52/3.47/2.12

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Palermo

W 150D 127L 179
Over 2.551
Goals scored587

Away Record: Fiorentina

W 441D 315L 350
Over 2.551
Goals scored1613

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026