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Atalanta vs Spal

10 February 2019 at 14:00Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia, Bergamo
21
Away

Spal

Referee: Davide Massa

Match Summary

Atalanta defeated Spal 2:1. The match was played in Serie A 2018.

Rivalry since 2017

Atalanta vs Spal Head to Head Results· 5

Atalanta and Spal have met 5 times — Atalanta won 1, Spal won 2, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2017. Spal leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 5 meetings. A combined 14 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.80 per match (6 for the home side, 8 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (80%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (40%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2019.

Drawn
2
·
2
wins
Total goals
14 · 2.8/match
Both scored
4/5 · 80%
Over 2.5
2/5 · 40%

Recent Meetings

20/01/20Serie A
Match Details
25/08/19Serie A
Match Details
17/09/18Serie A
Match Details
07/04/18Serie A
Match Details
05/11/17Serie A
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 23 v 2019

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Atalanta have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Spal show 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Atalanta

DLWDLD

Spal

WLWDDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Atalanta2wins
2draws6 meetings
Spal2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

83%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (33%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (74%) — the odds may underestimate Spal.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 77.5%Draw 17.8%Away 9.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.285.5010.50
Max1.305.8812.00
Market favourite:Atalanta · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market74.4%16.4%9.2%
Public market74.1%17.3%8.6%

Atalanta vs Spal — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Atalanta
Result vs. Market: Atalanta (78%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AtalantaHalf-time:01Spal
8Shots5
5Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

20 Jan 202019/201.19/7.41/13.30
25 Aug 201919/204.96/3.66/1.74
10 Feb 201918/191.29/5.63/11.17
17 Sept 201818/194.17/3.51/1.93
11 May 201717/181.31/5.29/10.56
4 Jul 201817/184.57/3.43/1.88

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Atalanta

W 371D 277L 348
Over 2.550
Goals scored1397

Away Record: Spal

W 24D 28L 62
Over 2.551
Goals scored110

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026