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Spal vs Cagliari

23 June 2020 at 18:30Stadio Paolo Mazza, Ferrara
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Spal

01
Referee: R. Abisso

Match Summary

Cagliari defeated Spal 1:0. The match was played in Serie A 2019.

Rivalry since 2016

Spal vs Cagliari Head to Head Results· 8

Spal and Cagliari have met 8 times — Spal won 1, Cagliari won 6, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Cagliari leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 8 meetings. A combined 23 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.88 per match (6 for the home side, 17 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–1 in 2016.

1
wins
Drawn
1
·
Total goals
23 · 2.9/match
Both scored
4/8 · 50%
Over 2.5
4/8 · 50%

Recent Meetings

27/01/23Serie B
Match Details
27/08/22Serie B
Match Details
20/10/19Serie A
Match Details
07/04/19Serie A
Match Details
10/11/18Serie A
Match Details
04/02/18Serie A
Match Details
17/09/17Serie A
Match Details
15/08/16Coppa Italia
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 51 v 2016

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Spal have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat. Cagliari show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Spal

WLWDDD

Cagliari

WWLDWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Cagliari dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Spal0wins
1draws6 meetings
Cagliari5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

33%

Games with 3+ goals

33%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (35%) — the odds may underestimate Cagliari.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 37.0%Draw 30.9%Away 36.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.623.202.70
Max2.793.312.75
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market35.0%29.5%35.5%
Public market35.2%29.7%35.2%

Spal vs Cagliari — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Cagliari
Result vs. Market: Spal (37%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SpalHalf-time:00Cagliari
6Shots9
2Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

23 Jun 202019/202.70/3.24/2.72
20 Oct 201919/202.12/3.34/3.66
7 Apr 201918/192.21/3.17/3.67
10 Nov 201818/192.57/3.06/3.08
17/09/1717/182.37/3.38/3.08
2 Apr 201817/182.14/3.26/3.66

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Spal

W 24D 28L 62
Over 2.551
Goals scored110

Away Record: Cagliari

W 259D 273L 430
Over 2.549
Goals scored1086

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026