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Atalanta vs Fiorentina

2 October 2022 at 17:00Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo
10
Referee: M. Irrati

Match Summary

Atalanta defeated Fiorentina 1:0. The match was played in Serie A 2022.

Rivalry since 2011

Atalanta vs Fiorentina Head to Head Results· 35

Atalanta and Fiorentina have met 35 times — Atalanta won 9, Fiorentina won 17, with 9 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Fiorentina leads the head-to-head with 17 victories from 35 meetings. A combined 105 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (48 for the home side, 57 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 21 matches (60%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 19 games (54%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2019.

Drawn
9
·
Total goals
105 · 3.0/match
Both scored
21/35 · 60%
Over 2.5
19/35 · 54%

Recent Meetings

22/05/26Serie A
Match Details
30/11/25Serie A
Match Details
30/03/25Serie A
Match Details
15/09/24Serie A
Match Details
02/06/24Serie A
Match Details
24/04/24Coppa Italia
Match Details
03/04/24Coppa Italia
Match Details
17/09/23Serie A
Match Details
17/04/23Serie A
Match Details
20/02/22Serie A
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2019

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Atalanta have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Fiorentina show 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Atalanta

DLWDLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Atalanta4wins
1draws10 meetings
Fiorentina5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (49%) — the odds may underestimate Atalanta.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 50.9%Draw 28.2%Away 25.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.953.503.80
Max1.993.644.05
Over 2.5: 52.1%Under 2.5: 50.5%
Market favourite:Atalanta · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market49.1%26.8%24.1%
Public market48.9%27.2%23.8%

Atalanta vs Fiorentina — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Atalanta
Result vs. Market: Atalanta (51%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AtalantaHalf-time:00Fiorentina
10Shots16
5Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

30 Nov 202525/261.73/3.83/4.83
30 Mar 202524/253.71/3.42/2.06
15 Sept 202424/251.82/3.73/4.33
2 Jun 202423/241.46/4.79/6.25
17 Sept 202323/242.39/3.42/2.81
17 Apr 202322/232.42/3.47/2.92
2 Oct 202222/231.96/3.55/3.95
20 Feb 202221/222.60/3.42/2.71
11 Sept 202121/221.57/4.26/5.78
13 Dec 202020/211.68/4.27/4.72

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Atalanta

W 371D 277L 348
Over 2.550
Goals scored1397

Away Record: Fiorentina

W 441D 315L 350
Over 2.551
Goals scored1613

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026