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Cagliari vs Lecce

19 January 2025 at 14:00Unipol Domus, Cagliari
41
Away

Lecce

Referee: J. Sacchi

Match Summary

Cagliari defeated Lecce 4:1. The match was played in Serie A 2024.

Rivalry since 2010

Cagliari vs Lecce Head to Head Results· 11

Cagliari and Lecce have met 11 times — Cagliari won 3, Lecce won 3, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. A combined 30 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.73 per match (15 for the home side, 15 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (64%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (45%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2011.

Drawn
5
·
3
wins
Total goals
30 · 2.7/match
Both scored
7/11 · 64%
Over 2.5
5/11 · 45%

Recent Meetings

16/02/26Serie A
Match Details
19/09/25Serie A
Match Details
31/08/24Serie A
Match Details
05/05/24Serie A
Match Details
06/01/24Serie A
Match Details
12/07/20Serie A
Match Details
25/11/19Serie A
Match Details
26/02/12Serie A
Match Details
02/10/11Serie A
Match Details
17/04/11Serie A
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2011

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Cagliari have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Lecce show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Cagliari

WWLDWL

Lecce

WWLWDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
5
10 meetings
3
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (49%) — the odds may underestimate Lecce.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

16 Feb 202625/262.20/3.00/3.75
Match Details
19 Sept 202525/262.90/2.93/2.80
Match Details
19 Jan 202524/251.95/3.40/4.03
Match Details
31 Aug 202424/252.28/3.19/3.42
Match Details
5 May 202423/242.15/3.21/3.71
Match Details
6 Jan 202423/242.18/3.32/3.39
Match Details
12 Jul 202019/201.74/3.97/4.49
Match Details
25 Nov 201919/203.19/3.55/2.21
Match Details
22/04/0099/00
19/12/9999/00

Market Summary

Margin: 5.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 51.2%Draw 29.4%Away 24.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.953.303.80
Max1.963.504.19
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 54.1%
Market favourite:Cagliari · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market49.3%27.6%23.1%
Public market48.4%28.6%23.0%

Cagliari vs Lecce — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Cagliari
Result vs. Market: Cagliari (51%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CagliariHalf-time:01Lecce
19Shots7
7Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Cagliari

W 259D 273L 430
Over 2.549
Goals scored1086

Away Record: Lecce

W 126D 163L 293
Over 2.551
Goals scored599

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026