Serie A· Season 2025
Match Summary
Sassuolo defeated Fiorentina 3:1. The match was played in Serie A 2025. Goals were scored by R. Mandragora 9′ (pen.), C. Volpato 14′, T. Muharemovic 45′, I. Kone 65′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Sassuolo had 40% possession while Fiorentina held 60%. Sassuolo had 13 shots (5 on target) compared to 9 (1 on target) for Fiorentina. Expected goals: Sassuolo 1.00 — Fiorentina 1.21. Sassuolo made 4 substitutions, Fiorentina made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Sassuolo and Fiorentina — 4 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.
Penalty
assist: T. Muharemovic
assist: A. Lauriente
assist: C. Volpato
Match Statistics
Sassuolo had 40% possession against Fiorentina's 60%. Sassuolo registered 13 shots (5 on target) while Fiorentina managed 9 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 7–1. Fouls committed: 15–15.
Rivalry since 2013
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Head to Head Results· 23
Sassuolo and Fiorentina have met 23 times — Sassuolo won 7, Fiorentina won 9, with 7 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. Fiorentina leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 23 meetings. A combined 70 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.04 per match (31 for the home side, 39 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 16 matches (70%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 games (65%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–4 in 2014.
Recent Meetings
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Sassuolo have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Fiorentina show 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.1
Average goals per game
70%
Games with 3+ goals
80%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (32%) — the odds may underestimate Sassuolo.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.5%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.88 | 3.25 | 2.50 |
| Max | 3.04 | 3.26 | 2.51 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 31.8% | 29.7% | 38.5% |
| Public market | 32.9% | 29.2% | 37.9% |
| Δ | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Sassuolo
Away Record: Fiorentina
Data: football-data.co.uk
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
API data: 13 May 2026