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Lazio vs Fiorentina

7 January 2026 at 19:45Stadio Olimpico, Rome
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Lazio

22
Referee: Simone Sozza

Match Summary

Lazio and Fiorentina drew 2:2. The match was played in Serie A 2025. Goals were scored by D. Cataldi 52′, R. Gosens 56′, A. Gudmundsson 89′ (pen.), Pedro 90′ (pen.). 8 yellow cards were shown. Lazio had 49% possession while Fiorentina held 51%. Lazio had 17 shots (9 on target) compared to 8 (5 on target) for Fiorentina. Expected goals: Lazio 2.74 — Fiorentina 1.64. Lazio made 3 substitutions, Fiorentina made 5. VAR was involved: Penalty confirmed (Albert Guðmundsson 87′).

Match Events

Key match events between Lazio and Fiorentina — 4 goals and 8 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
T. BasicM. Vecino
29′
Half Time
D. Cataldi

assist: M. Vecino

52′
56′
60′
R. PiccoliM. Kean
68′
C. NdourM. Solomon
69′
R. GosensL. Ranieri
M. LazzariE. Hysaj
80′
VAR
87′Penalty confirmed
89′
90+2′
F. ParisiH. Nicolussi Caviglia
90+2′
Pedro

Penalty

90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Lazio had 49% possession against Fiorentina's 51%. Lazio registered 17 shots (9 on target) while Fiorentina managed 8 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 8–2. Fouls committed: 11–15.

Shots on Goal
9
5
Shots Off Goal
2
1
Total Shots
17
8
Blocked Shots
6
2
Shots inside the Box
12
6
Shots outside the Box
5
2
Fouls
11
15
Corner Kicks
8
2
Offsides
0
1
Ball Possession
49%
51%
Yellow Cards
3
5
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
6
Total Passes
438
475
Accurate Passes
374
423
Pass Accuracy
85%
89%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.74
1.64
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.96
0.96

Rivalry since 2010

Lazio vs Fiorentina Head to Head Results· 32

Lazio and Fiorentina have met 32 times — Lazio won 19, Fiorentina won 9, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Lazio leads the head-to-head with 19 victories from 32 meetings. A combined 84 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.63 per match (51 for the home side, 33 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 16 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Fiorentina are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–4 in 2018.

19
wins
Drawn
4
·
Total goals
84 · 2.6/match
Both scored
16/32 · 50%
Over 2.5
16/32 · 50%

Recent Meetings

13/04/26Serie A
Match Details
26/01/25Serie A
Match Details
22/09/24Serie A
Match Details
26/02/24Serie A
Match Details
30/10/23Serie A
Match Details
29/01/23Serie A
Match Details
10/10/22Serie A
Match Details
05/02/22Serie A
Match Details
27/10/21Serie A
Match Details
08/05/21Serie A
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 34 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Lazio have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Fiorentina show 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Lazio

WLLLWD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Lazio4wins
2draws10 meetings
Fiorentina4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 4.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 40.7%Draw 32.8%Away 30.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.403.003.20
Max2.513.103.32
Over 2.5: 43.5%Under 2.5: 61.7%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market38.6%32.3%29.2%
Public market39.6%30.7%29.7%
Δ1.0%1.6%0.6%

Lazio vs Fiorentina — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Lazio (41%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

LazioHalf-time:00Fiorentina
17Shots8
9Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

13 Apr 202625/262.25/3.20/3.40
7 Jan 202625/262.46/3.05/3.26
26 Jan 202524/252.00/3.44/3.84
22 Sept 202424/252.29/3.38/3.21
26 Feb 202423/242.27/3.16/3.35
30 Oct 202323/242.29/3.38/3.16
29 Jan 202322/232.09/3.34/3.75
10 Oct 202222/232.45/3.47/2.86
5 Feb 202221/222.38/3.42/2.99
27 Oct 202121/221.96/3.68/3.86

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Lazio

W 573D 297L 338
Over 2.551
Goals scored1930

Away Record: Fiorentina

W 441D 315L 350
Over 2.551
Goals scored1613

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026