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Inter vs Lecce

14 January 2026 at 19:45Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milan
Home

Inter

10
Away

Lecce

Referee: Fabio Maresca

Match Events

Kick Off
Penalty cancelled26′
VAR
Half Time
N. BarellaD. Frattesi
56′
69′
R. SottilTete Morente
69′
O. GandelmanM. Kaba
H. MkhitaryanL. Martinez
72′
82′
S. PierottiK. Ndri
86′
Y. MalehA. Sala
M. ThuramP. Sucic
87′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Inter had 68% possession against Lecce's 32%. Inter registered 21 shots (7 on target) while Lecce managed 10 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 11–3. Fouls committed: 11–14.

Shots on Goal
7
1
Shots Off Goal
9
2
Total Shots
21
10
Blocked Shots
5
7
Shots inside the Box
13
6
Shots outside the Box
8
4
Fouls
11
14
Corner Kicks
11
3
Offsides
3
1
Ball Possession
68%
32%
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1
6
Total Passes
516
253
Accurate Passes
439
162
Pass Accuracy
85%
64%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
0.48
Goals Prevented (xGP)
1.06
1.06

Match Summary

Inter defeated Lecce 1:0. The match was played in Serie A 2025. Goals were scored by F. Esposito 78′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Inter had 68% possession while Lecce held 32%. Inter had 21 shots (7 on target) compared to 10 (1 on target) for Lecce. Expected goals: Inter 1.83 — Lecce 0.48. Inter made 5 substitutions, Lecce made 4. VAR was involved: Penalty cancelled (Ange-Yoan Bonny 26′).

Rivalry since 2010

Inter vs Lecce Head to Head Results· 13

10
wins
Drawn
2
·
1
wins
Total goals
34 · 2.6/match
Both scored
4/13 · 31%
Over 2.5
5/13 · 38%

Recent Meetings

21/02/26Serie A
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24/08/24Serie A
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25/02/24Serie A
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23/12/23Serie A
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13/08/22Serie A
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19/01/20Serie A
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26/08/19Serie A
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29/01/12Serie A
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Highest-scoring game: 41 v 2011

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

Inter

DDWWWD

Lecce

WWLWDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Inter dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Inter9wins
1draws10 meetings
Lecce0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

20%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (85%) — the odds may underestimate Inter.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 88.1%Draw 11.1%Away 5.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.139.0019.00
Max1.149.0320.01
Over 2.5: 66.7%Under 2.5: 38.0%
Market favourite:Inter · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market84.5%10.7%4.8%
Public market84.4%10.6%5.0%

Inter vs Lecce — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Inter
Result vs. Market: Inter (88%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

InterHalf-time:00Lecce
21Shots10
7Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

21 Feb 202625/267.00/4.33/1.48
14 Jan 202625/261.13/9.02/19.51
26 Jan 202524/259.11/5.24/1.33
24 Aug 202424/251.19/7.00/15.02
25 Feb 202423/247.40/4.62/1.42
23 Dec 202323/241.21/6.51/12.95
5 Mar 202322/231.36/4.84/9.52
13 Aug 202222/2310.58/5.72/1.29
19 Jan 202019/2010.56/5.53/1.29
26 Aug 201919/201.22/6.21/14.53

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Inter

W 665D 287L 256
Over 2.554
Goals scored2151

Away Record: Lecce

W 126D 163L 293
Over 2.551
Goals scored599

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026