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Bologna vs Fiorentina

18 January 2026 at 14:00Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
12
Referee: Daniele Doveri

Match Summary

Fiorentina defeated Bologna 2:1. The match was played in Serie A 2025. Goals were scored by R. Mandragora 19′, R. Piccoli 45′, G. Fabbian 88′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Bologna had 61% possession while Fiorentina held 39%. Bologna had 18 shots (3 on target) compared to 11 (4 on target) for Fiorentina. Expected goals: Bologna 1.27 — Fiorentina 1.73. Bologna made 5 substitutions, Fiorentina made 5. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Cher Ndour 18′), Goal confirmed (Roberto Piccoli 45′).

Match Events

Key match events between Bologna and Fiorentina — 3 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
VAR
18′Goal cancelled
19′
R. Mandragora

assist: A. Gudmundsson

VAR
45+3′Goal confirmed
Half Time
R. FreulerN. Moro
46′
R. OrsoliniJ. Rowe
46′
E. HolmN. Zortea
46′
72′
R. MandragoraM. Brescianini
72′
C. NdourS. Sohm
72′
A. GudmundssonM. Solomon
80′
F. ParisiN. Fortini
G. Fabbian

assist: J. Rowe

88′
90+4′
N. FagioliL. Ranieri
Full Time

Match Statistics

Bologna had 61% possession against Fiorentina's 39%. Bologna registered 18 shots (3 on target) while Fiorentina managed 11 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 7–1. Fouls committed: 14–13.

Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
8
4
Total Shots
18
11
Blocked Shots
7
3
Shots inside the Box
13
9
Shots outside the Box
5
2
Fouls
14
13
Corner Kicks
7
1
Offsides
0
3
Ball Possession
61%
39%
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
2
Total Passes
512
346
Accurate Passes
452
285
Pass Accuracy
88%
82%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
1.73
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.05
0.05

Rivalry since 2011

Bologna vs Fiorentina Head to Head Results· 29

Bologna and Fiorentina have met 29 times — Bologna won 6, Fiorentina won 14, with 9 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Fiorentina leads the head-to-head with 14 victories from 29 meetings. A combined 69 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.38 per match (27 for the home side, 42 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 14 matches (48%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 games (45%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2021.

6
wins
Drawn
9
·
Total goals
69 · 2.4/match
Both scored
14/29 · 48%
Over 2.5
13/29 · 45%

Recent Meetings

26/10/25Serie A
Match Details
18/05/25Serie A
Match Details
15/12/24Serie A
Match Details
14/02/24Serie A
Match Details
12/11/23Serie A
Match Details
05/02/23Serie A
Match Details
11/09/22Serie A
Match Details
13/03/22Serie A
Match Details
05/12/21Serie A
Match Details
02/05/21Serie A
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2021

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Bologna have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Fiorentina show 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Bologna

DWWDLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Bologna4wins
1draws10 meetings
Fiorentina5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (43%) — the odds may underestimate Bologna.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.5%Draw 30.3%Away 29.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.303.40
Max2.203.303.40
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 54.1%
Market favourite:Bologna · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Fiorentina
Result vs. Market: Bologna (45%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BolognaHalf-time:02Fiorentina
18Shots11
3Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

18 Jan 202625/262.20/3.30/3.40
26 Oct 202525/262.71/3.14/2.80
18 May 202524/252.79/3.08/2.76
15 Dec 202424/252.70/3.14/2.76
14 Feb 202423/242.32/3.23/3.19
12 Nov 202323/242.03/3.47/3.63
5 Feb 202322/231.84/3.51/4.61
11 Sept 202222/232.96/3.39/2.43
13 Mar 202221/221.63/3.98/5.53
5 Dec 202121/222.88/3.29/2.56

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bologna

W 300D 282L 372
Over 2.547
Goals scored1139

Away Record: Fiorentina

W 441D 315L 350
Over 2.551
Goals scored1613

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026