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Spal vs Brescia

12 November 2016 at 14:00Stadio Paolo Mazza, Ferrara
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Spal

32
Referee: Niccolo Baroni

Match Summary

Spal defeated Brescia 3:2. The match was played in Serie B 2016.

Rivalry since 2017

Spal vs Brescia Head to Head Results· 9

Spal and Brescia have met 9 times — Spal won 1, Brescia won 6, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2017. Brescia leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 9 meetings. A combined 27 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (10 for the home side, 17 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (56%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Brescia are currently unbeaten in the last 8 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2020.

1
wins
Drawn
2
·
6
wins
Total goals
27 · 3.0/match
Both scored
6/9 · 67%
Over 2.5
5/9 · 56%

Recent Meetings

15/04/23Serie B
Match Details
27/11/22Serie B
Match Details
25/04/22Serie B
Match Details
11/12/21Serie B
Match Details
01/05/21Serie B
Match Details
30/12/20Serie B
Match Details
19/07/20Serie A
Match Details
08/12/19Serie A
Match Details
09/04/17Serie B
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 23 v 2020

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Spal have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat. Brescia show 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 1 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Spal2wins
2draws8 meetings
Brescia4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.5

Average goals per game

63%

Games with 3+ goals

75%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (25%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (53%) — the odds may underestimate Brescia.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 55.8%Draw 29.2%Away 20.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.753.304.50
Max1.833.505.24
Market favourite:Spal · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market53.2%28.2%18.6%
Public market53.5%26.8%19.7%
Δ0.3%1.4%1.1%

Spal vs Brescia — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Spal
Result vs. Market: Spal (56%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SpalHalf-time:22Brescia

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

15 Apr 202322/232.50/3.13/3.13
27 Nov 202222/231.89/3.34/4.18
25 Apr 202221/221.66/3.58/5.42
11 Dec 202121/222.74/3.33/2.54
1 May 202120/212.52/3.01/3.13
30 Dec 202020/212.04/3.29/3.89
11 Dec 201616/171.79/3.42/4.83
4 Sept 201716/173.60/3.23/2.14

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Spal

W 53D 55L 48
Over 2.544
Goals scored197

Away Record: Brescia

W 296D 270L 240
Over 2.545
Goals scored1044

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026