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Novara vs Brescia

12 March 2018 at 19:30Stadio Silvio Piola, Novara
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Novara

21
Referee: Daniele Chiffi

Match Summary

Novara defeated Brescia 2:1. The match was played in Serie B 2017.

Rivalry since 2016

Novara vs Brescia Head to Head Results· 3

Novara and Brescia have met 3 times — Novara won 1, Brescia won 1, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. A combined 6 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (3 for the home side, 3 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 match (33%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2017.

1
wins
Drawn
1
·
1
wins
Total goals
6 · 2.0/match
Both scored
1/3 · 33%
Over 2.5
1/3 · 33%

Recent Meetings

14/10/17Serie B
Match Details
30/04/17Serie B
Match Details
11/12/16Serie B
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 23 v 2017

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Novara have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats. Brescia show 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 1 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

4
wins
draws
4
10 meetings
2
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (45%) — the odds may underestimate Novara.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

14/10/1717/182.39/3.06/3.25
3 Dec 201817/182.16/3.21/3.54
12 Nov 201616/172.84/3.08/2.63
30/04/1716/172.00/3.20/3.50
11 Jul 201515/161.97/3.17/4.22
26/03/1615/162.69/3.06/2.81
9 Jul 201313/142.34/3.19/3.13
2 Oct 201413/142.43/3.04/3.13
13/10/1212/132.26/3.09/3.40
3 Sept 201312/132.21/3.04/3.47

Market Summary

Margin: 5.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 46.3%Draw 31.2%Away 28.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.143.103.30
Max2.203.323.82
Market favourite:Novara · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market45.4%29.2%25.4%
Public market43.9%29.3%26.8%
Δ1.5%1.4%

Novara vs Brescia — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Novara
Result vs. Market: Novara (46%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

NovaraHalf-time:01Brescia
18Shots13
3Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Novara

W 91D 75L 86
Over 2.542
Goals scored323

Away Record: Brescia

W 296D 270L 240
Over 2.545
Goals scored1044

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026