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Lecce vs Padova

23 December 2018 at 14:00Via del Mare, Lecce
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Lecce

32
Away

Padova

Referee: Manuel Volpi

Match Summary

Lecce defeated Padova 3:2. The match was played in Serie B 2018.

Rivalry since 2019

Lecce vs Padova Head to Head Results· 2

Lecce and Padova have met 2 times — Lecce won 1, Padova won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2019. A combined 7 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.50 per match (5 for the home side, 2 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 match (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–0 in 2023.

1
wins
Drawn
0
·
1
wins
Total goals
7 · 3.5/match
Both scored
1/2 · 50%
Over 2.5
2/2 · 100%

Recent Meetings

26/07/23Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
01/05/19Serie B
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 40 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Lecce have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Padova show 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Lecce

WWLWDD

Padova

WWLWWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Lecce2wins
1draws4 meetings
Padova1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.3

Average goals per game

75%

Games with 3+ goals

100%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (56%) — the odds may underestimate Lecce.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 58.6%Draw 29.7%Away 17.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.673.305.00
Max1.753.416.17
Market favourite:Lecce · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market56.4%28.1%15.5%
Public market53.6%27.6%18.8%
Δ2.7%0.5%3.2%

Lecce vs Padova — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Lecce
Result vs. Market: Lecce (59%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

LecceHalf-time:20Padova
16Shots11
9Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

1 May 201918/194.60/3.60/1.66
23 Dec 201818/191.71/3.37/5.72
15/11/0909/101.82/3.01/4.62
13/04/1009/103.02/2.57/2.63

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Lecce

W 147D 101L 66
Over 2.550
Goals scored478

Away Record: Padova

W 92D 107L 123
Over 2.546
Goals scored360

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026