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Spal vs Ascoli

16 April 2021 at 20:00Stadio Paolo Mazza, Ferrara
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Spal

12
Away

Ascoli

Referee: P. Giacomelli

Match Summary

Ascoli defeated Spal 2:1. The match was played in Serie B 2020.

Rivalry since 2016

Spal vs Ascoli Head to Head Results· 9

Spal and Ascoli have met 9 times — Spal won 1, Ascoli won 2, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Ascoli leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 9 meetings. A combined 20 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.22 per match (9 for the home side, 11 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (78%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (22%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Spal are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2024.

1
wins
Drawn
6
·
2
wins
Total goals
20 · 2.2/match
Both scored
7/9 · 78%
Over 2.5
2/9 · 22%

Recent Meetings

20/12/24Serie C - Girone B
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23/08/24Serie C - Girone B
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21/01/23Serie B
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20/08/22Serie B
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12/03/22Serie B
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28/10/21Serie B
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27/12/20Serie B
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04/02/17Serie B
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10/09/16Serie B
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Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Spal have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat. Ascoli show 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Spal

WLWDDD

Ascoli

DLWWWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Spal1wins
4draws8 meetings
Ascoli3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

75%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate Ascoli.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.2%Draw 33.2%Away 26.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.103.003.60
Max2.333.034.00
Over 2.5: 44.4%Under 2.5: 62.1%
Market favourite:Spal · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market41.8%32.1%26.1%
Public market42.7%31.3%26.1%

Spal vs Ascoli — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Ascoli
Result vs. Market: Spal (45%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SpalHalf-time:11Ascoli
14Shots14
4Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

21 Jan 202322/232.75/2.97/2.79
20 Aug 202222/232.04/3.37/3.71
12 Mar 202221/222.54/3.21/2.76
28 Oct 202121/222.74/3.16/2.70
16 Apr 202120/212.21/3.01/3.78
27 Dec 202020/214.24/3.39/1.90
9 Oct 201616/172.47/3.02/3.13
2 Apr 201716/171.62/3.63/5.99

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Spal

W 53D 55L 48
Over 2.544
Goals scored197

Away Record: Ascoli

W 237D 212L 281
Over 2.545
Goals scored834

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026